Recent official forecasts from MetService New Zealand and aligned numerical weather prediction models project a daytime maximum of 16°C in Wellington on May 22 under stable high-pressure conditions and typical late-autumn southerly flow. This outcome aligns closely with the region’s May climatological average of 14–15°C and remains well within the historical 13–18°C envelope for the date, reinforcing strong market consensus at 100% implied probability for exactly 16°C. Ensemble guidance shows minimal spread, with little support for warmer anomalies. Realistic challenges include localized microclimate variations, unforecasted cloud cover reducing insolation, or late-day measurement revisions from official stations that could shift the recorded peak.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Wellington on May 22?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 22?
16°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$96,028 Vol.
$96,028 Vol.
22 mai 2026
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$96,028 Vol.
$96,028 Vol.
22 mai 2026
9°C or below
$436 Vol.
No
10°C
$2,392 Vol.
No
11°C
$806 Vol.
No
12°C
$2,356 Vol.
No
13°C
$3,667 Vol.
No
14°C
$3,594 Vol.
No
15°C
$13,730 Vol.
No
16°C
$12,169 Vol.
Yes
17°C
$14,495 Vol.
No
18°C
$25,863 Vol.
No
19°C or higher
$16,520 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from MetService New Zealand and aligned numerical weather prediction models project a daytime maximum of 16°C in Wellington on May 22 under stable high-pressure conditions and typical late-autumn southerly flow. This outcome aligns closely with the region’s May climatological average of 14–15°C and remains well within the historical 13–18°C envelope for the date, reinforcing strong market consensus at 100% implied probability for exactly 16°C. Ensemble guidance shows minimal spread, with little support for warmer anomalies. Realistic challenges include localized microclimate variations, unforecasted cloud cover reducing insolation, or late-day measurement revisions from official stations that could shift the recorded peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$96,028Date de fin
22 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from MetService New Zealand and aligned numerical weather prediction models project a daytime maximum of 16°C in Wellington on May 22 under stable high-pressure conditions and typical late-autumn southerly flow. This outcome aligns closely with the region’s May climatological average of 14–15°C and remains well within the historical 13–18°C envelope for the date, reinforcing strong market consensus at 100% implied probability for exactly 16°C. Ensemble guidance shows minimal spread, with little support for warmer anomalies. Realistic challenges include localized microclimate variations, unforecasted cloud cover reducing insolation, or late-day measurement revisions from official stations that could shift the recorded peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$96,028Date de fin
22 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Recent official forecasts from MetService New Zealand and aligned numerical weather prediction models project a daytime maximum of 16°C in Wellington on May 22 under stable high-pressure conditions and typical late-autumn southerly flow. This outcome aligns closely with the region’s May climatological average of 14–15°C and remains well within the historical 13–18°C envelope for the date, reinforcing strong market consensus at 100% implied probability for exactly 16°C. Ensemble guidance shows minimal spread, with little support for warmer anomalies. Realistic challenges include localized microclimate variations, unforecasted cloud cover reducing insolation, or late-day measurement revisions from official stations that could shift the recorded peak.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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