Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 17°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 21, 2026, backed by official METAR observations confirming a midday peak of exactly 17°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northerly winds. This marks a sharp cooldown from 28°C highs earlier in the week, driven by a passing frontal system that suppressed solar heating and introduced atmospheric instability, well below April climatological norms of around 22°C. With sunset approaching and overnight lows forecast near 11°C under continued showers per China Meteorological Administration guidance, realistic challenges like sudden clearing are improbable, as model ensembles show no significant warming potential remaining.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Wuhan le 21 avril ?
La température la plus élevée à Wuhan le 21 avril ?
17°C 100.0%
8°C ou moins <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$70,396 Vol.
$70,396 Vol.
21 avr. 2026
8°C ou moins
Non
9°C
Non
10°C
Non
11°C
Non
12°C
Non
13°C
Non
14°C
Non
15°C
Non
16°C
Non
17°C
Oui
18°C ou plus
Non
17°C 100.0%
8°C ou moins <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$70,396 Vol.
$70,396 Vol.
21 avr. 2026
8°C ou moins
$572 Vol.
Non
9°C
$654 Vol.
Non
10°C
$1,271 Vol.
Non
11°C
$1,469 Vol.
Non
12°C
$2,453 Vol.
Non
13°C
$2,975 Vol.
Non
14°C
$4,400 Vol.
Non
15°C
$10,557 Vol.
Non
16°C
$6,623 Vol.
Non
17°C
$19,205 Vol.
Oui
18°C ou plus
$20,215 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 17°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 21, 2026, backed by official METAR observations confirming a midday peak of exactly 17°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northerly winds. This marks a sharp cooldown from 28°C highs earlier in the week, driven by a passing frontal system that suppressed solar heating and introduced atmospheric instability, well below April climatological norms of around 22°C. With sunset approaching and overnight lows forecast near 11°C under continued showers per China Meteorological Administration guidance, realistic challenges like sudden clearing are improbable, as model ensembles show no significant warming potential remaining.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$70,396Date de fin
21 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 17°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 21, 2026, backed by official METAR observations confirming a midday peak of exactly 17°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northerly winds. This marks a sharp cooldown from 28°C highs earlier in the week, driven by a passing frontal system that suppressed solar heating and introduced atmospheric instability, well below April climatological norms of around 22°C. With sunset approaching and overnight lows forecast near 11°C under continued showers per China Meteorological Administration guidance, realistic challenges like sudden clearing are improbable, as model ensembles show no significant warming potential remaining.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$70,396Date de fin
21 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 17°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 21, 2026, backed by official METAR observations confirming a midday peak of exactly 17°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northerly winds. This marks a sharp cooldown from 28°C highs earlier in the week, driven by a passing frontal system that suppressed solar heating and introduced atmospheric instability, well below April climatological norms of around 22°C. With sunset approaching and overnight lows forecast near 11°C under continued showers per China Meteorological Administration guidance, realistic challenges like sudden clearing are improbable, as model ensembles show no significant warming potential remaining.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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