Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 22°C in Wuhan on April 24, driven by official observations from the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport meteorological station, where intraday readings peaked at 22°C under partly cloudy skies and light southeast winds. China Meteorological Administration (CMA) updates and METAR reports confirm this, aligning with ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts clustering around 21-22°C amid lingering cool air from recent frontal passages. Late-April climatology typically sees highs near 23°C, but current conditions—sunset by early evening and minimal solar heating—lock in this outcome. A realistic challenge would require an unlikely late-day clearing and heat burst exceeding 23°C before midnight local time, with final resolution pending CMA's daily airport record.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 24?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 24?
22°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$58,410 Vol.
$58,410 Vol.
24 avr. 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$58,410 Vol.
$58,410 Vol.
24 avr. 2026
19°C or below
$5,053 Vol.
No
20°C
$4,587 Vol.
No
21°C
$9,264 Vol.
No
22°C
$11,206 Vol.
Yes
23°C
$8,565 Vol.
No
24°C
$8,037 Vol.
No
25°C
$2,445 Vol.
No
26°C
$3,220 Vol.
No
27°C
$2,775 Vol.
No
28°C
$1,878 Vol.
No
29°C or higher
$1,381 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 22°C in Wuhan on April 24, driven by official observations from the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport meteorological station, where intraday readings peaked at 22°C under partly cloudy skies and light southeast winds. China Meteorological Administration (CMA) updates and METAR reports confirm this, aligning with ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts clustering around 21-22°C amid lingering cool air from recent frontal passages. Late-April climatology typically sees highs near 23°C, but current conditions—sunset by early evening and minimal solar heating—lock in this outcome. A realistic challenge would require an unlikely late-day clearing and heat burst exceeding 23°C before midnight local time, with final resolution pending CMA's daily airport record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 22, 2026, 12:49 AM ET
Volume
$58,410Date de fin
24 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 22, 2026, 12:49 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 22°C in Wuhan on April 24, driven by official observations from the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport meteorological station, where intraday readings peaked at 22°C under partly cloudy skies and light southeast winds. China Meteorological Administration (CMA) updates and METAR reports confirm this, aligning with ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts clustering around 21-22°C amid lingering cool air from recent frontal passages. Late-April climatology typically sees highs near 23°C, but current conditions—sunset by early evening and minimal solar heating—lock in this outcome. A realistic challenge would require an unlikely late-day clearing and heat burst exceeding 23°C before midnight local time, with final resolution pending CMA's daily airport record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$58,410Date de fin
24 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 22, 2026, 12:49 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 22°C in Wuhan on April 24, driven by official observations from the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport meteorological station, where intraday readings peaked at 22°C under partly cloudy skies and light southeast winds. China Meteorological Administration (CMA) updates and METAR reports confirm this, aligning with ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts clustering around 21-22°C amid lingering cool air from recent frontal passages. Late-April climatology typically sees highs near 23°C, but current conditions—sunset by early evening and minimal solar heating—lock in this outcome. A realistic challenge would require an unlikely late-day clearing and heat burst exceeding 23°C before midnight local time, with final resolution pending CMA's daily airport record.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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