Forecast models from NOAA and NHC indicate Miami's July 16 overnight low will likely settle near 80–81°F amid partly cloudy skies and light southeast winds, keeping radiative cooling limited in the humid subtropical air mass. Sea-breeze moderation from the warm Atlantic and Gulf Stream, combined with typical urban heat island effects, supports this range, while scattered afternoon convection may reduce clear-sky cooling overnight. Historical July minima average 78°F, but current guidance shows slight model spread on cloud thickness and wind speed that could shift the low by 2–3°F either way. Traders are pricing tight probabilities across 78–83°F bins because fresh model runs and local observations offer no decisive edge on exact minimum thresholds before the 24-hour window closes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Miami le 16 juillet ?
La température la plus basse à Miami le 16 juillet ?
80-81 °F 100.0%
71°F ou moins <1%
72-73 °F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$14,480 Vol.
$14,480 Vol.
16 juil. 2026
71°F ou moins
Non
72-73 °F
Non
74-75°F
Non
76-77°F
Non
78-79°F
Non
80-81 °F
Oui
82-83°F
Non
84-85°F
Non
86-87°F
Non
88-89°F
Non
90°F ou plus
Non
80-81 °F 100.0%
71°F ou moins <1%
72-73 °F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$14,480 Vol.
$14,480 Vol.
16 juil. 2026
71°F ou moins
$769 Vol.
Non
72-73 °F
$929 Vol.
Non
74-75°F
$1,284 Vol.
Non
76-77°F
$3,589 Vol.
Non
78-79°F
$1,926 Vol.
Non
80-81 °F
$2,437 Vol.
Oui
82-83°F
$1,121 Vol.
Non
84-85°F
$519 Vol.
Non
86-87°F
$717 Vol.
Non
88-89°F
$603 Vol.
Non
90°F ou plus
$585 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from NOAA and NHC indicate Miami's July 16 overnight low will likely settle near 80–81°F amid partly cloudy skies and light southeast winds, keeping radiative cooling limited in the humid subtropical air mass. Sea-breeze moderation from the warm Atlantic and Gulf Stream, combined with typical urban heat island effects, supports this range, while scattered afternoon convection may reduce clear-sky cooling overnight. Historical July minima average 78°F, but current guidance shows slight model spread on cloud thickness and wind speed that could shift the low by 2–3°F either way. Traders are pricing tight probabilities across 78–83°F bins because fresh model runs and local observations offer no decisive edge on exact minimum thresholds before the 24-hour window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 14, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$14,480Date de fin
16 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 14, 2026, 9:30 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from NOAA and NHC indicate Miami's July 16 overnight low will likely settle near 80–81°F amid partly cloudy skies and light southeast winds, keeping radiative cooling limited in the humid subtropical air mass. Sea-breeze moderation from the warm Atlantic and Gulf Stream, combined with typical urban heat island effects, supports this range, while scattered afternoon convection may reduce clear-sky cooling overnight. Historical July minima average 78°F, but current guidance shows slight model spread on cloud thickness and wind speed that could shift the low by 2–3°F either way. Traders are pricing tight probabilities across 78–83°F bins because fresh model runs and local observations offer no decisive edge on exact minimum thresholds before the 24-hour window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,480Date de fin
16 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 14, 2026, 9:30 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Forecast models from NOAA and NHC indicate Miami's July 16 overnight low will likely settle near 80–81°F amid partly cloudy skies and light southeast winds, keeping radiative cooling limited in the humid subtropical air mass. Sea-breeze moderation from the warm Atlantic and Gulf Stream, combined with typical urban heat island effects, supports this range, while scattered afternoon convection may reduce clear-sky cooling overnight. Historical July minima average 78°F, but current guidance shows slight model spread on cloud thickness and wind speed that could shift the low by 2–3°F either way. Traders are pricing tight probabilities across 78–83°F bins because fresh model runs and local observations offer no decisive edge on exact minimum thresholds before the 24-hour window closes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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