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icon for La température la plus basse à Munich le 25 août ?

La température la plus basse à Munich le 25 août ?

icon for La température la plus basse à Munich le 25 août ?

La température la plus basse à Munich le 25 août ?

18°C or higher 93%

8°C or below 90%

17°C 41%

11°C 28%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

18°C or higher 93%

8°C or below 90%

17°C 41%

11°C 28%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

8°C or below

$5 Vol.

90%

9°C

$0 Vol.

21%

10°C

$0 Vol.

21%

11°C

$0 Vol.

28%

12°C

$0 Vol.

27%

13°C

$0 Vol.

27%

14°C

$0 Vol.

26%

15°C

$0 Vol.

26%

16°C

$5 Vol.

2%

17°C

$5 Vol.

41%

18°C or higher

$5 Vol.

93%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts for Munich on August 25, 2026, point to a minimum temperature most likely in the 12–14°C range, with current model guidance from sources like BBC Weather and TimeandDate showing a low around 12–13°C under light winds and variable cloud cover.** The closely matched market probabilities—roughly 47–49.5% for the extreme tails (≤8°C or ≥18°C) versus ~26–27% for mid-range values like 11–14°C—reflect genuine short-range forecast uncertainty typical 48 hours ahead. Overnight minima depend heavily on factors such as cloud cover (which traps heat and limits radiative cooling), wind speed (calm conditions favor colder readings), humidity, and any passing fronts or showers that could alter the boundary layer. Recent developments show a moderating trend after warmer late-August days, with highs near 23–25°C and increasing overcast conditions or light rain expected to influence the night of the 24th–25th. Historical August climatology for Munich places average lows near 13–14°C, providing context for why traders see value across a spread of outcomes. New high-resolution model runs from agencies like the German Weather Service (DWD) or ECMWF, along with updated observations on cloud trends, will likely sharpen the picture before resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20
Date de fin
25 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts for Munich on August 25, 2026, point to a minimum temperature most likely in the 12–14°C range, with current model guidance from sources like BBC Weather and TimeandDate showing a low around 12–13°C under light winds and variable cloud cover.** The closely matched market probabilities—roughly 47–49.5% for the extreme tails (≤8°C or ≥18°C) versus ~26–27% for mid-range values like 11–14°C—reflect genuine short-range forecast uncertainty typical 48 hours ahead. Overnight minima depend heavily on factors such as cloud cover (which traps heat and limits radiative cooling), wind speed (calm conditions favor colder readings), humidity, and any passing fronts or showers that could alter the boundary layer. Recent developments show a moderating trend after warmer late-August days, with highs near 23–25°C and increasing overcast conditions or light rain expected to influence the night of the 24th–25th. Historical August climatology for Munich places average lows near 13–14°C, providing context for why traders see value across a spread of outcomes. New high-resolution model runs from agencies like the German Weather Service (DWD) or ECMWF, along with updated observations on cloud trends, will likely sharpen the picture before resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20
Date de fin
25 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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Questions fréquentes

« La température la plus basse à Munich le 25 août ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 18°C or higher » à 47%, suivi de « 8°C or below » à 45%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 47¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 47% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« La température la plus basse à Munich le 25 août ? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 23, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « La température la plus basse à Munich le 25 août ? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « La température la plus basse à Munich le 25 août ? » est « 18°C or higher » à 47%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 47% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 8°C or below » à 45%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « La température la plus basse à Munich le 25 août ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.