Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 50-51°F low temperature in New York City on April 29, 2026, driven by official National Weather Service observations at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA)—the market's designated resolution station—archived via Weather Underground, confirming the daily minimum fell squarely in this range. This outcome exceeded pre-event forecast model consensus from NOAA, which anticipated upper-40s lows amid cloudy conditions and light winds, but persistent overcast skies and urban heat island effects around the airport prevented deeper cooling overnight. Realistic challenges are minimal post-validation, though a rare data correction or archival discrepancy could theoretically prompt review; final NWS climatological summaries, typically released within 24 hours, solidify this positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à New York le 29 avril ?
La température la plus basse à New York le 29 avril ?
50-51°F 100.0%
41°F ou moins <1%
42-43 °F <1%
44-45°F <1%
$19,807 Vol.
$19,807 Vol.
29 avr. 2026
41°F ou moins
Non
42-43 °F
Non
44-45°F
Non
46-47°F
Non
48-49°F
Non
50-51°F
Oui
52-53 °F
Non
54-55°F
Non
56-57°F
Non
58-59°F
Non
60°F ou plus
Non
50-51°F 100.0%
41°F ou moins <1%
42-43 °F <1%
44-45°F <1%
$19,807 Vol.
$19,807 Vol.
29 avr. 2026
41°F ou moins
$3,206 Vol.
Non
42-43 °F
$1,944 Vol.
Non
44-45°F
$963 Vol.
Non
46-47°F
$1,073 Vol.
Non
48-49°F
$1,956 Vol.
Non
50-51°F
$4,661 Vol.
Oui
52-53 °F
$1,611 Vol.
Non
54-55°F
$482 Vol.
Non
56-57°F
$1,148 Vol.
Non
58-59°F
$1,341 Vol.
Non
60°F ou plus
$1,421 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 50-51°F low temperature in New York City on April 29, 2026, driven by official National Weather Service observations at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA)—the market's designated resolution station—archived via Weather Underground, confirming the daily minimum fell squarely in this range. This outcome exceeded pre-event forecast model consensus from NOAA, which anticipated upper-40s lows amid cloudy conditions and light winds, but persistent overcast skies and urban heat island effects around the airport prevented deeper cooling overnight. Realistic challenges are minimal post-validation, though a rare data correction or archival discrepancy could theoretically prompt review; final NWS climatological summaries, typically released within 24 hours, solidify this positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 27, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$19,807Date de fin
29 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 27, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 50-51°F low temperature in New York City on April 29, 2026, driven by official National Weather Service observations at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA)—the market's designated resolution station—archived via Weather Underground, confirming the daily minimum fell squarely in this range. This outcome exceeded pre-event forecast model consensus from NOAA, which anticipated upper-40s lows amid cloudy conditions and light winds, but persistent overcast skies and urban heat island effects around the airport prevented deeper cooling overnight. Realistic challenges are minimal post-validation, though a rare data correction or archival discrepancy could theoretically prompt review; final NWS climatological summaries, typically released within 24 hours, solidify this positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$19,807Date de fin
29 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 27, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 50-51°F low temperature in New York City on April 29, 2026, driven by official National Weather Service observations at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA)—the market's designated resolution station—archived via Weather Underground, confirming the daily minimum fell squarely in this range. This outcome exceeded pre-event forecast model consensus from NOAA, which anticipated upper-40s lows amid cloudy conditions and light winds, but persistent overcast skies and urban heat island effects around the airport prevented deeper cooling overnight. Realistic challenges are minimal post-validation, though a rare data correction or archival discrepancy could theoretically prompt review; final NWS climatological summaries, typically released within 24 hours, solidify this positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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