**Official National Weather Service observations recorded a minimum temperature of 64–65°F at key NYC stations (including Central Park and LaGuardia references) on June 17, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly flow that limited overnight radiative cooling.** This outcome aligned closely with pre-event model guidance from the NWS and major ensembles, which consistently projected overnight lows in that narrow band amid typical mid-June maritime air influence. Historical climatology for the date shows average lows near 65°F, providing additional context that reinforced trader confidence. The overwhelming 99.6% market-implied probability for 64–65°F reflects this strong data consensus backed by real capital at risk. Realistic challenges would require an unexpected late revision to the official climatological report (rare for NWS daily summaries) or a station-specific anomaly exceeding normal observational variance, though such shifts are uncommon once preliminary readings are confirmed.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à New York le 17 juin ?
La température la plus basse à New York le 17 juin ?
64-65 °F 100.0%
53°F ou moins <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$31,572 Vol.
$31,572 Vol.
17 juin 2026
53°F ou moins
Non
54-55°F
Non
56-57°F
Non
58-59°F
Non
60-61 °F
Non
62-63 °F
Non
64-65 °F
Oui
66-67°F
Non
68-69°F
Non
70-71 °F
Non
72°F ou plus
Non
64-65 °F 100.0%
53°F ou moins <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$31,572 Vol.
$31,572 Vol.
17 juin 2026
53°F ou moins
$2,308 Vol.
Non
54-55°F
$881 Vol.
Non
56-57°F
$3,090 Vol.
Non
58-59°F
$5,103 Vol.
Non
60-61 °F
$2,863 Vol.
Non
62-63 °F
$2,803 Vol.
Non
64-65 °F
$7,515 Vol.
Oui
66-67°F
$4,284 Vol.
Non
68-69°F
$1,316 Vol.
Non
70-71 °F
$955 Vol.
Non
72°F ou plus
$454 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service observations recorded a minimum temperature of 64–65°F at key NYC stations (including Central Park and LaGuardia references) on June 17, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly flow that limited overnight radiative cooling.** This outcome aligned closely with pre-event model guidance from the NWS and major ensembles, which consistently projected overnight lows in that narrow band amid typical mid-June maritime air influence. Historical climatology for the date shows average lows near 65°F, providing additional context that reinforced trader confidence. The overwhelming 99.6% market-implied probability for 64–65°F reflects this strong data consensus backed by real capital at risk.
Realistic challenges would require an unexpected late revision to the official climatological report (rare for NWS daily summaries) or a station-specific anomaly exceeding normal observational variance, though such shifts are uncommon once preliminary readings are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 15, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$31,572Date de fin
17 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 15, 2026, 9:30 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service observations recorded a minimum temperature of 64–65°F at key NYC stations (including Central Park and LaGuardia references) on June 17, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly flow that limited overnight radiative cooling.** This outcome aligned closely with pre-event model guidance from the NWS and major ensembles, which consistently projected overnight lows in that narrow band amid typical mid-June maritime air influence. Historical climatology for the date shows average lows near 65°F, providing additional context that reinforced trader confidence. The overwhelming 99.6% market-implied probability for 64–65°F reflects this strong data consensus backed by real capital at risk.
Realistic challenges would require an unexpected late revision to the official climatological report (rare for NWS daily summaries) or a station-specific anomaly exceeding normal observational variance, though such shifts are uncommon once preliminary readings are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$31,572Date de fin
17 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 15, 2026, 9:30 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
**Official National Weather Service observations recorded a minimum temperature of 64–65°F at key NYC stations (including Central Park and LaGuardia references) on June 17, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly flow that limited overnight radiative cooling.** This outcome aligned closely with pre-event model guidance from the NWS and major ensembles, which consistently projected overnight lows in that narrow band amid typical mid-June maritime air influence. Historical climatology for the date shows average lows near 65°F, providing additional context that reinforced trader confidence. The overwhelming 99.6% market-implied probability for 64–65°F reflects this strong data consensus backed by real capital at risk. Realistic challenges would require an unexpected late revision to the official climatological report (rare for NWS daily summaries) or a station-specific anomaly exceeding normal observational variance, though such shifts are uncommon once preliminary readings are confirmed.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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