The National Weather Service's official observation at Central Park—the authoritative station for New York City—recorded a daily minimum temperature of 56-57°F on May 6, 2026, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as markets resolved post-measurement. This aligns with pre-event NOAA forecast model runs, including the GFS and ECMWF ensembles, which projected mid-50s lows amid a shift to cooler, rainy conditions following near-record warmth on May 5 (highs near 82°F) and persistent southerly flow. Early May climatology supports this, with 30-year normals around 53-57°F for overnight minima. Scenarios challenging resolution are exceedingly rare, such as post hoc quality control revisions by NWS for sensor anomalies, though historical precedents show near-zero incidence for settled daily records. Traders await no further updates, as the market nears closure.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus basse à New York le 6 mai ?
Température la plus basse à New York le 6 mai ?
56-57°F 100.0%
51°F ou moins <1%
52-53°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
$87,308 Vol.
$87,308 Vol.
6 mai 2026
51°F ou moins
Non
52-53°F
Non
54-55°F
Non
56-57°F
Oui
58-59°F
Non
60-61°F
Non
62-63°F
Non
64-65°F
Non
66-67 °F
Non
68-69°F
Non
70°F ou plus
Non
56-57°F 100.0%
51°F ou moins <1%
52-53°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
$87,308 Vol.
$87,308 Vol.
6 mai 2026
51°F ou moins
$9,321 Vol.
Non
52-53°F
$5,209 Vol.
Non
54-55°F
$6,211 Vol.
Non
56-57°F
$19,669 Vol.
Oui
58-59°F
$32,184 Vol.
Non
60-61°F
$2,015 Vol.
Non
62-63°F
$1,172 Vol.
Non
64-65°F
$3,042 Vol.
Non
66-67 °F
$2,730 Vol.
Non
68-69°F
$2,452 Vol.
Non
70°F ou plus
$3,304 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's official observation at Central Park—the authoritative station for New York City—recorded a daily minimum temperature of 56-57°F on May 6, 2026, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as markets resolved post-measurement. This aligns with pre-event NOAA forecast model runs, including the GFS and ECMWF ensembles, which projected mid-50s lows amid a shift to cooler, rainy conditions following near-record warmth on May 5 (highs near 82°F) and persistent southerly flow. Early May climatology supports this, with 30-year normals around 53-57°F for overnight minima. Scenarios challenging resolution are exceedingly rare, such as post hoc quality control revisions by NWS for sensor anomalies, though historical precedents show near-zero incidence for settled daily records. Traders await no further updates, as the market nears closure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$87,308Date de fin
6 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's official observation at Central Park—the authoritative station for New York City—recorded a daily minimum temperature of 56-57°F on May 6, 2026, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as markets resolved post-measurement. This aligns with pre-event NOAA forecast model runs, including the GFS and ECMWF ensembles, which projected mid-50s lows amid a shift to cooler, rainy conditions following near-record warmth on May 5 (highs near 82°F) and persistent southerly flow. Early May climatology supports this, with 30-year normals around 53-57°F for overnight minima. Scenarios challenging resolution are exceedingly rare, such as post hoc quality control revisions by NWS for sensor anomalies, though historical precedents show near-zero incidence for settled daily records. Traders await no further updates, as the market nears closure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$87,308Date de fin
6 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
The National Weather Service's official observation at Central Park—the authoritative station for New York City—recorded a daily minimum temperature of 56-57°F on May 6, 2026, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as markets resolved post-measurement. This aligns with pre-event NOAA forecast model runs, including the GFS and ECMWF ensembles, which projected mid-50s lows amid a shift to cooler, rainy conditions following near-record warmth on May 5 (highs near 82°F) and persistent southerly flow. Early May climatology supports this, with 30-year normals around 53-57°F for overnight minima. Scenarios challenging resolution are exceedingly rare, such as post hoc quality control revisions by NWS for sensor anomalies, though historical precedents show near-zero incidence for settled daily records. Traders await no further updates, as the market nears closure.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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