Verified observations from NOAA's Central Park station (USW00094728)—the authoritative source for New York City climate records—confirm the lowest temperature on May 9, 2026, reached 11°C (52°F), driving unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 52-53°F outcome. Partial cloud cover overnight, light southerly winds around 5-10 mph, and persistent urban heat island effects curtailed radiative cooling, preventing drops below 52°F despite cooler air mass advection. This matches multi-model forecast guidance from NOAA's GFS and European ECMWF ensembles issued 24-48 hours prior, which projected minima in the low 50s°F. Final quality-controlled data from the National Centers for Environmental Information could theoretically revise the reading via rare sensor calibration adjustments, but independent ASOS reports corroborate the figure, solidifying resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à New York le 9 mai ?
La température la plus basse à New York le 9 mai ?
52-53°F 100.0%
43°F ou moins <1%
44-45 °F <1%
46-47 °F <1%
$39,433 Vol.
$39,433 Vol.
9 mai 2026
43°F ou moins
Non
44-45 °F
Non
46-47 °F
Non
48-49°F
Non
50-51 °F
Non
52-53°F
Oui
54-55°F
Non
56-57°F
Non
58-59°F
Non
60-61°F
Non
62°F ou plus
Non
52-53°F 100.0%
43°F ou moins <1%
44-45 °F <1%
46-47 °F <1%
$39,433 Vol.
$39,433 Vol.
9 mai 2026
43°F ou moins
$10,238 Vol.
Non
44-45 °F
$6,726 Vol.
Non
46-47 °F
$1,759 Vol.
Non
48-49°F
$2,081 Vol.
Non
50-51 °F
$2,258 Vol.
Non
52-53°F
$3,026 Vol.
Oui
54-55°F
$3,761 Vol.
Non
56-57°F
$1,689 Vol.
Non
58-59°F
$2,039 Vol.
Non
60-61°F
$2,619 Vol.
Non
62°F ou plus
$3,236 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Verified observations from NOAA's Central Park station (USW00094728)—the authoritative source for New York City climate records—confirm the lowest temperature on May 9, 2026, reached 11°C (52°F), driving unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 52-53°F outcome. Partial cloud cover overnight, light southerly winds around 5-10 mph, and persistent urban heat island effects curtailed radiative cooling, preventing drops below 52°F despite cooler air mass advection. This matches multi-model forecast guidance from NOAA's GFS and European ECMWF ensembles issued 24-48 hours prior, which projected minima in the low 50s°F. Final quality-controlled data from the National Centers for Environmental Information could theoretically revise the reading via rare sensor calibration adjustments, but independent ASOS reports corroborate the figure, solidifying resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$39,433Date de fin
9 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Verified observations from NOAA's Central Park station (USW00094728)—the authoritative source for New York City climate records—confirm the lowest temperature on May 9, 2026, reached 11°C (52°F), driving unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 52-53°F outcome. Partial cloud cover overnight, light southerly winds around 5-10 mph, and persistent urban heat island effects curtailed radiative cooling, preventing drops below 52°F despite cooler air mass advection. This matches multi-model forecast guidance from NOAA's GFS and European ECMWF ensembles issued 24-48 hours prior, which projected minima in the low 50s°F. Final quality-controlled data from the National Centers for Environmental Information could theoretically revise the reading via rare sensor calibration adjustments, but independent ASOS reports corroborate the figure, solidifying resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$39,433Date de fin
9 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Verified observations from NOAA's Central Park station (USW00094728)—the authoritative source for New York City climate records—confirm the lowest temperature on May 9, 2026, reached 11°C (52°F), driving unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 52-53°F outcome. Partial cloud cover overnight, light southerly winds around 5-10 mph, and persistent urban heat island effects curtailed radiative cooling, preventing drops below 52°F despite cooler air mass advection. This matches multi-model forecast guidance from NOAA's GFS and European ECMWF ensembles issued 24-48 hours prior, which projected minima in the low 50s°F. Final quality-controlled data from the National Centers for Environmental Information could theoretically revise the reading via rare sensor calibration adjustments, but independent ASOS reports corroborate the figure, solidifying resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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