Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a minimum temperature of 16–17°C for Paris on August 30, underpinning the near-even market-implied odds between those outcomes. Persistent southwesterly flow and extensive cloud cover limit nocturnal radiative cooling while advecting milder maritime air, keeping overnight lows above the long-term average of 13.4°C. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any partial clearing, which could allow an extra degree of cooling or retain heat. With resolution two days away, updated high-resolution runs from Météo-France and ECMWF will refine the exact minimum recorded at the official station.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Paris le 30 août ?
La température la plus basse à Paris le 30 août ?
16°C 41%
15°C 33%
18°C 32%
17°C 31%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 août 2026
12°C ou moins
7%
13°C
8%
14°C
15%
15°C
33%
16°C
41%
17°C
43%
18°C
32%
19°C
17%
20°C
16%
21°C
2%
22°C ou plus
9%
16°C 41%
15°C 33%
18°C 32%
17°C 31%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 août 2026
12°C ou moins
$135 Vol.
7%
13°C
$130 Vol.
8%
14°C
$0 Vol.
15%
15°C
$0 Vol.
33%
16°C
$0 Vol.
41%
17°C
$36 Vol.
43%
18°C
$0 Vol.
32%
19°C
$0 Vol.
17%
20°C
$0 Vol.
16%
21°C
$5 Vol.
2%
22°C ou plus
$5 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a minimum temperature of 16–17°C for Paris on August 30, underpinning the near-even market-implied odds between those outcomes. Persistent southwesterly flow and extensive cloud cover limit nocturnal radiative cooling while advecting milder maritime air, keeping overnight lows above the long-term average of 13.4°C. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any partial clearing, which could allow an extra degree of cooling or retain heat. With resolution two days away, updated high-resolution runs from Météo-France and ECMWF will refine the exact minimum recorded at the official station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$311Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a minimum temperature of 16–17°C for Paris on August 30, underpinning the near-even market-implied odds between those outcomes. Persistent southwesterly flow and extensive cloud cover limit nocturnal radiative cooling while advecting milder maritime air, keeping overnight lows above the long-term average of 13.4°C. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any partial clearing, which could allow an extra degree of cooling or retain heat. With resolution two days away, updated high-resolution runs from Météo-France and ECMWF will refine the exact minimum recorded at the official station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$311Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a minimum temperature of 16–17°C for Paris on August 30, underpinning the near-even market-implied odds between those outcomes. Persistent southwesterly flow and extensive cloud cover limit nocturnal radiative cooling while advecting milder maritime air, keeping overnight lows above the long-term average of 13.4°C. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any partial clearing, which could allow an extra degree of cooling or retain heat. With resolution two days away, updated high-resolution runs from Météo-France and ECMWF will refine the exact minimum recorded at the official station.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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