Recent forecasts from Météo-France-aligned models and international ensembles indicate a highest temperature in Paris on August 30 near the 1991–2020 average high of 24°C, with most runs projecting 23–25°C under cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow. A persistent Atlantic trough has suppressed temperatures and increased humidity over the prior 48 hours, limiting daytime heating after earlier August warmth. Ensemble spread centers on modest cloud cover and possible scattered showers that cap radiative warming, keeping maxima close to climatology rather than allowing brief spikes to 26°C or higher. Market-implied odds align with this consensus, assigning the highest probability to 24°C while reflecting residual uncertainty from final model updates and exact station measurements before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Paris le 30 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Paris le 30 août ?
24°C 39%
25°C 28%
23°C 19%
26°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 août 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
6%
23°C
19%
24°C
39%
25°C
28%
26°C
8%
27°C or higher
6%
24°C 39%
25°C 28%
23°C 19%
26°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 août 2026
17°C or below
$85 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$0 Vol.
1%
21°C
$0 Vol.
4%
22°C
$46 Vol.
6%
23°C
$0 Vol.
19%
24°C
$37 Vol.
39%
25°C
$3 Vol.
28%
26°C
$106 Vol.
8%
27°C or higher
$0 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France-aligned models and international ensembles indicate a highest temperature in Paris on August 30 near the 1991–2020 average high of 24°C, with most runs projecting 23–25°C under cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow. A persistent Atlantic trough has suppressed temperatures and increased humidity over the prior 48 hours, limiting daytime heating after earlier August warmth. Ensemble spread centers on modest cloud cover and possible scattered showers that cap radiative warming, keeping maxima close to climatology rather than allowing brief spikes to 26°C or higher. Market-implied odds align with this consensus, assigning the highest probability to 24°C while reflecting residual uncertainty from final model updates and exact station measurements before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$277Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France-aligned models and international ensembles indicate a highest temperature in Paris on August 30 near the 1991–2020 average high of 24°C, with most runs projecting 23–25°C under cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow. A persistent Atlantic trough has suppressed temperatures and increased humidity over the prior 48 hours, limiting daytime heating after earlier August warmth. Ensemble spread centers on modest cloud cover and possible scattered showers that cap radiative warming, keeping maxima close to climatology rather than allowing brief spikes to 26°C or higher. Market-implied odds align with this consensus, assigning the highest probability to 24°C while reflecting residual uncertainty from final model updates and exact station measurements before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$277Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Météo-France-aligned models and international ensembles indicate a highest temperature in Paris on August 30 near the 1991–2020 average high of 24°C, with most runs projecting 23–25°C under cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow. A persistent Atlantic trough has suppressed temperatures and increased humidity over the prior 48 hours, limiting daytime heating after earlier August warmth. Ensemble spread centers on modest cloud cover and possible scattered showers that cap radiative warming, keeping maxima close to climatology rather than allowing brief spikes to 26°C or higher. Market-implied odds align with this consensus, assigning the highest probability to 24°C while reflecting residual uncertainty from final model updates and exact station measurements before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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