Trader consensus clusters around 20–23°C for Shanghai’s June 24 minimum, reflecting ensemble forecasts from regional models that show persistent cloud cover and light rain associated with the meiyu front. These conditions limit daytime heating while suppressing nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows near the seasonal 21–22°C climatological average. Minor model spread arises from uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. No strong high-pressure ridging or clear-sky advection is indicated in the 48-hour window, supporting the narrow probability distribution and low odds for extremes below 19°C or above 24°C. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will be the next key inputs before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Shanghai le 24 juin ?
La température la plus basse à Shanghai le 24 juin ?
22°C 100.0%
18°C ou moins <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$31,780 Vol.
$31,780 Vol.
24 juin 2026
18°C ou moins
Non
19°C
Non
20°C
Non
21°C
Non
22°C
Oui
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C ou plus
Non
22°C 100.0%
18°C ou moins <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$31,780 Vol.
$31,780 Vol.
24 juin 2026
18°C ou moins
$862 Vol.
Non
19°C
$1,149 Vol.
Non
20°C
$1,528 Vol.
Non
21°C
$4,315 Vol.
Non
22°C
$11,105 Vol.
Oui
23°C
$3,972 Vol.
Non
24°C
$6,068 Vol.
Non
25°C
$1,040 Vol.
Non
26°C
$497 Vol.
Non
27°C
$481 Vol.
Non
28°C ou plus
$763 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters around 20–23°C for Shanghai’s June 24 minimum, reflecting ensemble forecasts from regional models that show persistent cloud cover and light rain associated with the meiyu front. These conditions limit daytime heating while suppressing nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows near the seasonal 21–22°C climatological average. Minor model spread arises from uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. No strong high-pressure ridging or clear-sky advection is indicated in the 48-hour window, supporting the narrow probability distribution and low odds for extremes below 19°C or above 24°C. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will be the next key inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$31,780Date de fin
24 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters around 20–23°C for Shanghai’s June 24 minimum, reflecting ensemble forecasts from regional models that show persistent cloud cover and light rain associated with the meiyu front. These conditions limit daytime heating while suppressing nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows near the seasonal 21–22°C climatological average. Minor model spread arises from uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. No strong high-pressure ridging or clear-sky advection is indicated in the 48-hour window, supporting the narrow probability distribution and low odds for extremes below 19°C or above 24°C. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will be the next key inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$31,780Date de fin
24 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Trader consensus clusters around 20–23°C for Shanghai’s June 24 minimum, reflecting ensemble forecasts from regional models that show persistent cloud cover and light rain associated with the meiyu front. These conditions limit daytime heating while suppressing nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows near the seasonal 21–22°C climatological average. Minor model spread arises from uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. No strong high-pressure ridging or clear-sky advection is indicated in the 48-hour window, supporting the narrow probability distribution and low odds for extremes below 19°C or above 24°C. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will be the next key inputs before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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