Persistent summer heatwave conditions and urban heat island effects in Tokyo are elevating overnight lows ahead of July 22, with Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts showing partly cloudy skies and daytime highs near 36°C that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. High humidity and weak winds further suppress temperature drops, pushing market-implied odds toward minimums of 28–32°C or higher as the consensus range. Recent extreme heat days, including the first 35°C+ readings of the season, have reinforced trader views on sustained tropical-night patterns where lows may remain above 26°C. Model consensus points to modest variability from cloud cover or frontal influences, creating tight spreads among leading outcomes while keeping sub-24°C scenarios improbable given current synoptic setup.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Tokyo le 22 juillet ?
La température la plus basse à Tokyo le 22 juillet ?
28°C 100.0%
22°C ou moins <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$21,887 Vol.
$21,887 Vol.
22 juil. 2026
22°C ou moins
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Oui
29°C
Non
30°C
Non
31°C
Non
32°C ou plus
Non
28°C 100.0%
22°C ou moins <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$21,887 Vol.
$21,887 Vol.
22 juil. 2026
22°C ou moins
$216 Vol.
Non
23°C
$645 Vol.
Non
24°C
$701 Vol.
Non
25°C
$774 Vol.
Non
26°C
$1,443 Vol.
Non
27°C
$7,430 Vol.
Non
28°C
$7,011 Vol.
Oui
29°C
$1,753 Vol.
Non
30°C
$1,004 Vol.
Non
31°C
$515 Vol.
Non
32°C ou plus
$394 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent summer heatwave conditions and urban heat island effects in Tokyo are elevating overnight lows ahead of July 22, with Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts showing partly cloudy skies and daytime highs near 36°C that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. High humidity and weak winds further suppress temperature drops, pushing market-implied odds toward minimums of 28–32°C or higher as the consensus range. Recent extreme heat days, including the first 35°C+ readings of the season, have reinforced trader views on sustained tropical-night patterns where lows may remain above 26°C. Model consensus points to modest variability from cloud cover or frontal influences, creating tight spreads among leading outcomes while keeping sub-24°C scenarios improbable given current synoptic setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$21,887Date de fin
22 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent summer heatwave conditions and urban heat island effects in Tokyo are elevating overnight lows ahead of July 22, with Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts showing partly cloudy skies and daytime highs near 36°C that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. High humidity and weak winds further suppress temperature drops, pushing market-implied odds toward minimums of 28–32°C or higher as the consensus range. Recent extreme heat days, including the first 35°C+ readings of the season, have reinforced trader views on sustained tropical-night patterns where lows may remain above 26°C. Model consensus points to modest variability from cloud cover or frontal influences, creating tight spreads among leading outcomes while keeping sub-24°C scenarios improbable given current synoptic setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$21,887Date de fin
22 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Persistent summer heatwave conditions and urban heat island effects in Tokyo are elevating overnight lows ahead of July 22, with Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts showing partly cloudy skies and daytime highs near 36°C that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. High humidity and weak winds further suppress temperature drops, pushing market-implied odds toward minimums of 28–32°C or higher as the consensus range. Recent extreme heat days, including the first 35°C+ readings of the season, have reinforced trader views on sustained tropical-night patterns where lows may remain above 26°C. Model consensus points to modest variability from cloud cover or frontal influences, creating tight spreads among leading outcomes while keeping sub-24°C scenarios improbable given current synoptic setup.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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