Microsoft shares closed near $500 on September 4 amid a 2% pullback driven by investor focus on elevated capital expenditures exceeding $40 billion quarterly and associated pressure on cloud gross margins, even as Azure revenue accelerated to roughly $29.4 billion with 42-43% growth and the commercial backlog expanded 84% to $678 billion. The company’s shift to two AI-centric reporting segments has improved visibility into its Agents and Infra business without altering near-term guidance of $89.85-90.95 billion in first-quarter revenue. With the week of September 7 resolution only days away and probabilities clustered tightly between the $470-480 and $500-510 ranges, trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over whether recent AI momentum or ongoing spending concerns will dominate short-term price action amid broader equity volatility.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour<450 $ 50%
510 $-520 $ 50%
450 $-460 $ 50%
470$-480$ 48%
<450 $
50%
450 $-460 $
50%
460 $-470 $
47%
470$-480$
48%
480 $-490 $
48%
490 $-500 $
48%
500 $ - 510 $
47%
510 $-520 $
50%
520 $ - 530 $
48%
530 $-540 $
47%
>540 $
48%
<450 $ 50%
510 $-520 $ 50%
450 $-460 $ 50%
470$-480$ 48%
<450 $
50%
450 $-460 $
50%
460 $-470 $
47%
470$-480$
48%
480 $-490 $
48%
490 $-500 $
48%
500 $ - 510 $
47%
510 $-520 $
50%
520 $ - 530 $
48%
530 $-540 $
47%
>540 $
48%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
Marché ouvert : Sep 4, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSDRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
Source de résolution
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSDRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Microsoft shares closed near $500 on September 4 amid a 2% pullback driven by investor focus on elevated capital expenditures exceeding $40 billion quarterly and associated pressure on cloud gross margins, even as Azure revenue accelerated to roughly $29.4 billion with 42-43% growth and the commercial backlog expanded 84% to $678 billion. The company’s shift to two AI-centric reporting segments has improved visibility into its Agents and Infra business without altering near-term guidance of $89.85-90.95 billion in first-quarter revenue. With the week of September 7 resolution only days away and probabilities clustered tightly between the $470-480 and $500-510 ranges, trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over whether recent AI momentum or ongoing spending concerns will dominate short-term price action amid broader equity volatility.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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