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Number of US Flights Delayed March 31?

Market icon
Politique·Aéroport

Number of US Flights Delayed March 31?

mars 29

mars 30

mars 31

mars 29

mars 30

mars 31

5,500-6,000 53%

6,000-6,500 40%

6,500-7,000 35%

5,000-5,500 30%

Polymarket

$356 Vol.

5,500-6,000 53%

6,000-6,500 40%

6,500-7,000 35%

5,000-5,500 30%

Polymarket

$356 Vol.

<5,000

$138 Vol.

11%

5,000-5,500

$155 Vol.

30%

5,500-6,000

$0 Vol.

53%

6,000-6,500

$0 Vol.

40%

6,500-7,000

$0 Vol.

35%

7,000-7,500

$0 Vol.

28%

7,500-8,000

$0 Vol.

29%

>8,000

$63 Vol.

25%

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus favors 5,500-6,000 US flight delays at 53% implied probability, reflecting FAA's March 31 air traffic report forecasting wind-related ground delays at JFK, LGA, EWR, PHL, and LAS alongside thunderstorms at DTW, MDW, and ORD, building on yesterday's FlightAware tally of 5,330 US delays. Intraday reports show over 2,800 delays already, primarily from Northeast hub chokepoints like LaGuardia facing 189-minute holds, amid lingering TSA staffing strains from the partial government shutdown now on day 45—though backpay processing and ICE support may mitigate security backups later today. Lower bins trail as mid-March storms have subsided, normalizing volumes toward recent 3,000-5,000 daily averages.

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Volume
$356
Date de fin
31 mars 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 30, 2026, 6:08 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus favors 5,500-6,000 US flight delays at 53% implied probability, reflecting FAA's March 31 air traffic report forecasting wind-related ground delays at JFK, LGA, EWR, PHL, and LAS alongside thunderstorms at DTW, MDW, and ORD, building on yesterday's FlightAware tally of 5,330 US delays. Intraday reports show over 2,800 delays already, primarily from Northeast hub chokepoints like LaGuardia facing 189-minute holds, amid lingering TSA staffing strains from the partial government shutdown now on day 45—though backpay processing and ICE support may mitigate security backups later today. Lower bins trail as mid-March storms have subsided, normalizing volumes toward recent 3,000-5,000 daily averages.

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Volume
$356
Date de fin
31 mars 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 30, 2026, 6:08 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.

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Questions fréquentes

« Number of US Flights Delayed March 31? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 8 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 5,500-6,000 » à 53%, suivi de « 6,000-6,500 » à 40%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 53¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 53% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Number of US Flights Delayed March 31? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Mar 30, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Number of US Flights Delayed March 31? », parcourez les 8 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Number of US Flights Delayed March 31? » est « 5,500-6,000 » à 53%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 53% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 6,000-6,500 » à 40%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Number of US Flights Delayed March 31? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.