The closely matched trader consensus in New York’s 13th Congressional District Democratic primary reflects a competitive contest between five-term incumbent Adriano Espaillat and progressive challenger Darializa Avila Chevalier ahead of the June 23 vote. Recent candidate forums have highlighted differences over immigration enforcement, campaign finance, and foreign policy, while Chevalier’s endorsements from prominent progressives and focus on Harlem have narrowed Espaillat’s traditional advantages in the district. Past social media activity by the challenger has drawn scrutiny, adding uncertainty to voter assessments. Minor candidates remain marginal in the field, leaving the outcome dependent on turnout in key neighborhoods and last-minute developments in the final weeks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourDarializa Avila Chevalier 52%
Adriano Espaillat 43%
Matt Miller <1%
Oscar Romero <1%
$35,665 Vol.
$35,665 Vol.
Darializa Avila Chevalier
52%
Adriano Espaillat
43%
Matt Miller
<1%
Oscar Romero
<1%
Jaleel Amador
<1%
Theo Chino-Tavarez
<1%
James Felton Keith
<1%
Megan Rodriguez
<1%
Darializa Avila Chevalier 52%
Adriano Espaillat 43%
Matt Miller <1%
Oscar Romero <1%
$35,665 Vol.
$35,665 Vol.
Darializa Avila Chevalier
52%
Adriano Espaillat
43%
Matt Miller
<1%
Oscar Romero
<1%
Jaleel Amador
<1%
Theo Chino-Tavarez
<1%
James Felton Keith
<1%
Megan Rodriguez
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Marché ouvert : Dec 19, 2025, 3:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The closely matched trader consensus in New York’s 13th Congressional District Democratic primary reflects a competitive contest between five-term incumbent Adriano Espaillat and progressive challenger Darializa Avila Chevalier ahead of the June 23 vote. Recent candidate forums have highlighted differences over immigration enforcement, campaign finance, and foreign policy, while Chevalier’s endorsements from prominent progressives and focus on Harlem have narrowed Espaillat’s traditional advantages in the district. Past social media activity by the challenger has drawn scrutiny, adding uncertainty to voter assessments. Minor candidates remain marginal in the field, leaving the outcome dependent on turnout in key neighborhoods and last-minute developments in the final weeks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes