The competitive June 23 Democratic primary in New York’s 13th District, covering Upper Manhattan and northwest Bronx areas, has driven trader consensus toward Darializa Avila Chevalier at 53% over five-term incumbent Adriano Espaillat at 42.5%. Recent developments include Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s late-May endorsement of the democratic socialist challenger, backed by the local DSA chapter and Justice Democrats, alongside a June 4 public forum where both candidates addressed district priorities. Coverage has highlighted the race’s focus on Harlem precincts and fundraising momentum favoring the newcomer, while minor candidates remain negligible. These factors reflect a closely contested primary where progressive organizing and establishment defense have narrowed the gap in the weeks before voting.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourDarializa Avila Chevalier 53%
Adriano Espaillat 43%
Matt Miller <1%
Oscar Romero <1%
$35,650 Vol.
$35,650 Vol.
Darializa Avila Chevalier
53%
Adriano Espaillat
43%
Matt Miller
<1%
Oscar Romero
<1%
Jaleel Amador
<1%
Theo Chino-Tavarez
<1%
James Felton Keith
<1%
Megan Rodriguez
<1%
Darializa Avila Chevalier 53%
Adriano Espaillat 43%
Matt Miller <1%
Oscar Romero <1%
$35,650 Vol.
$35,650 Vol.
Darializa Avila Chevalier
53%
Adriano Espaillat
43%
Matt Miller
<1%
Oscar Romero
<1%
Jaleel Amador
<1%
Theo Chino-Tavarez
<1%
James Felton Keith
<1%
Megan Rodriguez
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Marché ouvert : Dec 19, 2025, 3:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The competitive June 23 Democratic primary in New York’s 13th District, covering Upper Manhattan and northwest Bronx areas, has driven trader consensus toward Darializa Avila Chevalier at 53% over five-term incumbent Adriano Espaillat at 42.5%. Recent developments include Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s late-May endorsement of the democratic socialist challenger, backed by the local DSA chapter and Justice Democrats, alongside a June 4 public forum where both candidates addressed district priorities. Coverage has highlighted the race’s focus on Harlem precincts and fundraising momentum favoring the newcomer, while minor candidates remain negligible. These factors reflect a closely contested primary where progressive organizing and establishment defense have narrowed the gap in the weeks before voting.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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