Perplexity's CEO explicitly stated in March 2025 that the AI search startup has no plans to IPO before 2028, directly supporting the market's leading 43.5% implied probability for that outcome. The company has since closed multiple 2025 funding rounds, including a $200 million Series E at a $20 billion valuation in September, demonstrating ample private capital access and rapid revenue growth without public market pressure. This timeline aligns with typical late-stage AI company maturation, where sustained private valuations and competitive positioning against larger models reduce urgency for an earlier listing. Traders appear to weigh the CEO's commitment and funding momentum most heavily, while lower probabilities on specific post-2028 market-cap brackets reflect uncertainty over future execution, user adoption benchmarks, and broader AI sector dynamics.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourPas d'introduction en bourse avant 2028 41%
50–75 Md$ 11.7%
75–100 milliards 9.6%
<20 Mds$ 6.9%
$141,490 Vol.
$141,490 Vol.
31 déc. 2027
<20 Mds$
7%
20–30 milliards
7%
30–40 milliards
6%
40–50 milliards
4%
50–75 Md$
12%
75–100 milliards
10%
Plus de 100 milliards
6%
Pas d'introduction en bourse avant 2028
41%
Pas d'introduction en bourse avant 2028 41%
50–75 Md$ 11.7%
75–100 milliards 9.6%
<20 Mds$ 6.9%
$141,490 Vol.
$141,490 Vol.
31 déc. 2027
<20 Mds$
$4,510 Vol.
7%
20–30 milliards
$7,075 Vol.
7%
30–40 milliards
$4,422 Vol.
6%
40–50 milliards
$4,242 Vol.
4%
50–75 Md$
$6,275 Vol.
12%
75–100 milliards
$3,425 Vol.
10%
Plus de 100 milliards
$5,014 Vol.
6%
Pas d'introduction en bourse avant 2028
$106,528 Vol.
41%
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Perplexity's CEO explicitly stated in March 2025 that the AI search startup has no plans to IPO before 2028, directly supporting the market's leading 43.5% implied probability for that outcome. The company has since closed multiple 2025 funding rounds, including a $200 million Series E at a $20 billion valuation in September, demonstrating ample private capital access and rapid revenue growth without public market pressure. This timeline aligns with typical late-stage AI company maturation, where sustained private valuations and competitive positioning against larger models reduce urgency for an earlier listing. Traders appear to weigh the CEO's commitment and funding momentum most heavily, while lower probabilities on specific post-2028 market-cap brackets reflect uncertainty over future execution, user adoption benchmarks, and broader AI sector dynamics.
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Marché ouvert : Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
Volume
$141,490Date de fin
31 déc. 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Perplexity's CEO explicitly stated in March 2025 that the AI search startup has no plans to IPO before 2028, directly supporting the market's leading 43.5% implied probability for that outcome. The company has since closed multiple 2025 funding rounds, including a $200 million Series E at a $20 billion valuation in September, demonstrating ample private capital access and rapid revenue growth without public market pressure. This timeline aligns with typical late-stage AI company maturation, where sustained private valuations and competitive positioning against larger models reduce urgency for an earlier listing. Traders appear to weigh the CEO's commitment and funding momentum most heavily, while lower probabilities on specific post-2028 market-cap brackets reflect uncertainty over future execution, user adoption benchmarks, and broader AI sector dynamics.
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$141,490Date de fin
31 déc. 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Perplexity's CEO explicitly stated in March 2025 that the AI search startup has no plans to IPO before 2028, directly supporting the market's leading 43.5% implied probability for that outcome. The company has since closed multiple 2025 funding rounds, including a $200 million Series E at a $20 billion valuation in September, demonstrating ample private capital access and rapid revenue growth without public market pressure. This timeline aligns with typical late-stage AI company maturation, where sustained private valuations and competitive positioning against larger models reduce urgency for an earlier listing. Traders appear to weigh the CEO's commitment and funding momentum most heavily, while lower probabilities on specific post-2028 market-cap brackets reflect uncertainty over future execution, user adoption benchmarks, and broader AI sector dynamics.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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