Databricks’ data and AI platform continues to post strong revenue growth exceeding 55% year-over-year, with both its core data warehousing and AI offerings surpassing $1 billion run rates after the company closed a $4 billion Series L round at a $134 billion valuation in late 2025. Yet no public S-1 filing has occurred as of May 2026, and analysts now project confidential filing no earlier than Q3 followed by a potential Nasdaq listing only in late 2026 or 2027. This extended private runway, bolstered by recent debt financing, explains the market’s overwhelming 89.7% implied probability of no IPO by June 30, 2026, while the low single-digit odds on specific closing market-cap bands reflect uncertainty around exact timing and valuation multiples in a competitive enterprise AI landscape.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourPas d'introduction en bourse d'ici le 30 juin 2026 89.7%
250 milliards $+ 3.3%
125–150 milliards 1.1%
<100 Mds $ <1%
$404,869 Vol.
$404,869 Vol.
30 juin 2026
<100 Mds $
<1%
100–125 mds
<1%
125–150 milliards
1%
150–175 Md$
<1%
175–200 milliards
<1%
200–250 Md$
<1%
250 milliards $+
3%
Pas d'introduction en bourse d'ici le 30 juin 2026
90%
Pas d'introduction en bourse d'ici le 30 juin 2026 89.7%
250 milliards $+ 3.3%
125–150 milliards 1.1%
<100 Mds $ <1%
$404,869 Vol.
$404,869 Vol.
30 juin 2026
<100 Mds $
$33,266 Vol.
<1%
100–125 mds
$62,218 Vol.
<1%
125–150 milliards
$26,707 Vol.
1%
150–175 Md$
$59,926 Vol.
<1%
175–200 milliards
$58,179 Vol.
<1%
200–250 Md$
$21,141 Vol.
<1%
250 milliards $+
$126,920 Vol.
3%
Pas d'introduction en bourse d'ici le 30 juin 2026
$16,513 Vol.
90%
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Databricks’ data and AI platform continues to post strong revenue growth exceeding 55% year-over-year, with both its core data warehousing and AI offerings surpassing $1 billion run rates after the company closed a $4 billion Series L round at a $134 billion valuation in late 2025. Yet no public S-1 filing has occurred as of May 2026, and analysts now project confidential filing no earlier than Q3 followed by a potential Nasdaq listing only in late 2026 or 2027. This extended private runway, bolstered by recent debt financing, explains the market’s overwhelming 89.7% implied probability of no IPO by June 30, 2026, while the low single-digit odds on specific closing market-cap bands reflect uncertainty around exact timing and valuation multiples in a competitive enterprise AI landscape.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Marché ouvert : Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
Volume
$404,869Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Databricks’ data and AI platform continues to post strong revenue growth exceeding 55% year-over-year, with both its core data warehousing and AI offerings surpassing $1 billion run rates after the company closed a $4 billion Series L round at a $134 billion valuation in late 2025. Yet no public S-1 filing has occurred as of May 2026, and analysts now project confidential filing no earlier than Q3 followed by a potential Nasdaq listing only in late 2026 or 2027. This extended private runway, bolstered by recent debt financing, explains the market’s overwhelming 89.7% implied probability of no IPO by June 30, 2026, while the low single-digit odds on specific closing market-cap bands reflect uncertainty around exact timing and valuation multiples in a competitive enterprise AI landscape.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$404,869Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Databricks’ data and AI platform continues to post strong revenue growth exceeding 55% year-over-year, with both its core data warehousing and AI offerings surpassing $1 billion run rates after the company closed a $4 billion Series L round at a $134 billion valuation in late 2025. Yet no public S-1 filing has occurred as of May 2026, and analysts now project confidential filing no earlier than Q3 followed by a potential Nasdaq listing only in late 2026 or 2027. This extended private runway, bolstered by recent debt financing, explains the market’s overwhelming 89.7% implied probability of no IPO by June 30, 2026, while the low single-digit odds on specific closing market-cap bands reflect uncertainty around exact timing and valuation multiples in a competitive enterprise AI landscape.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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