Databricks' dominant 92.5% market-implied probability of no IPO by June 30, 2026 reflects the absence of a public S-1 filing as of April and analysts' consensus on a second-half timeline. The data and AI platform completed a $4 billion equity round and $1.8 billion debt financing at a $134 billion valuation in late 2025 and early 2026, actions that typically precede rather than immediately trigger a listing. Standard SEC review and roadshow processes make a near-term debut improbable without accelerated confidential filings or unexpected market pressure. A faster path could emerge only if regulatory conditions shift dramatically or the company surprises with an expedited process, though current signals point to Q3 filing and potential Q4 2026 or 2027 listing.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourPas d'introduction en bourse d'ici le 30 juin 2026 92.5%
250 milliards $+ 2.6%
200–250 Md$ 2.1%
125–150 milliards 1.1%
$404,859 Vol.
$404,859 Vol.
30 juin 2026
<100 Mds $
<1%
100–125 mds
<1%
125–150 milliards
1%
150–175 Md$
<1%
175–200 milliards
<1%
200–250 Md$
2%
250 milliards $+
3%
Pas d'introduction en bourse d'ici le 30 juin 2026
92%
Pas d'introduction en bourse d'ici le 30 juin 2026 92.5%
250 milliards $+ 2.6%
200–250 Md$ 2.1%
125–150 milliards 1.1%
$404,859 Vol.
$404,859 Vol.
30 juin 2026
<100 Mds $
$33,266 Vol.
<1%
100–125 mds
$62,218 Vol.
<1%
125–150 milliards
$26,707 Vol.
1%
150–175 Md$
$59,926 Vol.
<1%
175–200 milliards
$58,179 Vol.
<1%
200–250 Md$
$21,141 Vol.
2%
250 milliards $+
$126,914 Vol.
3%
Pas d'introduction en bourse d'ici le 30 juin 2026
$16,508 Vol.
92%
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Databricks' dominant 92.5% market-implied probability of no IPO by June 30, 2026 reflects the absence of a public S-1 filing as of April and analysts' consensus on a second-half timeline. The data and AI platform completed a $4 billion equity round and $1.8 billion debt financing at a $134 billion valuation in late 2025 and early 2026, actions that typically precede rather than immediately trigger a listing. Standard SEC review and roadshow processes make a near-term debut improbable without accelerated confidential filings or unexpected market pressure. A faster path could emerge only if regulatory conditions shift dramatically or the company surprises with an expedited process, though current signals point to Q3 filing and potential Q4 2026 or 2027 listing.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Marché ouvert : Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
Volume
$404,859Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Databricks' dominant 92.5% market-implied probability of no IPO by June 30, 2026 reflects the absence of a public S-1 filing as of April and analysts' consensus on a second-half timeline. The data and AI platform completed a $4 billion equity round and $1.8 billion debt financing at a $134 billion valuation in late 2025 and early 2026, actions that typically precede rather than immediately trigger a listing. Standard SEC review and roadshow processes make a near-term debut improbable without accelerated confidential filings or unexpected market pressure. A faster path could emerge only if regulatory conditions shift dramatically or the company surprises with an expedited process, though current signals point to Q3 filing and potential Q4 2026 or 2027 listing.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$404,859Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Databricks' dominant 92.5% market-implied probability of no IPO by June 30, 2026 reflects the absence of a public S-1 filing as of April and analysts' consensus on a second-half timeline. The data and AI platform completed a $4 billion equity round and $1.8 billion debt financing at a $134 billion valuation in late 2025 and early 2026, actions that typically precede rather than immediately trigger a listing. Standard SEC review and roadshow processes make a near-term debut improbable without accelerated confidential filings or unexpected market pressure. A faster path could emerge only if regulatory conditions shift dramatically or the company surprises with an expedited process, though current signals point to Q3 filing and potential Q4 2026 or 2027 listing.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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