SpaceX's May 2026 public S-1 filing and accelerated regulatory timeline have anchored trader consensus around a June listing, with the market-implied probability for that month exceeding 98%. The company targeted a Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX, pricing near $135 per share to raise approximately $75 billion at a $1.77 trillion valuation—the largest IPO on record. Faster-than-expected SEC review enabled an early-June roadshow and mid-month share sale, aligning closely with current pricing. While strong momentum supports resolution this month, any last-minute regulatory hold or market volatility could shift timing into July, though such outcomes currently carry negligible implied odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourJuin 98.2%
Juillet <1%
Pas d'introduction en bourse avant 2027 <1%
Août <1%
$478,608 Vol.
$478,608 Vol.
Juin
98%
Juillet
<1%
Août
<1%
Septembre
<1%
Octobre
<1%
Novembre
<1%
Décembre
<1%
Pas d'introduction en bourse avant 2027
<1%
Juin 98.2%
Juillet <1%
Pas d'introduction en bourse avant 2027 <1%
Août <1%
$478,608 Vol.
$478,608 Vol.
Juin
98%
Juillet
<1%
Août
<1%
Septembre
<1%
Octobre
<1%
Novembre
<1%
Décembre
<1%
Pas d'introduction en bourse avant 2027
<1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Marché ouvert : Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX's May 2026 public S-1 filing and accelerated regulatory timeline have anchored trader consensus around a June listing, with the market-implied probability for that month exceeding 98%. The company targeted a Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX, pricing near $135 per share to raise approximately $75 billion at a $1.77 trillion valuation—the largest IPO on record. Faster-than-expected SEC review enabled an early-June roadshow and mid-month share sale, aligning closely with current pricing. While strong momentum supports resolution this month, any last-minute regulatory hold or market volatility could shift timing into July, though such outcomes currently carry negligible implied odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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