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icon for Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

icon for Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

Goldman Sachs 76%

Morgan Stanley 23%

UBS 1.8%

Bank of America 1.0%

Polymarket

$42,650 Vol.

Goldman Sachs 76%

Morgan Stanley 23%

UBS 1.8%

Bank of America 1.0%

Polymarket

$42,650 Vol.

icon for Goldman Sachs

Goldman Sachs

$7,177 Vol.

76%

icon for Morgan Stanley

Morgan Stanley

$8,024 Vol.

23%

icon for UBS

UBS

$3,354 Vol.

2%

icon for Bank of America

Bank of America

$2,356 Vol.

1%

icon for JPMorgan

JPMorgan

$3,802 Vol.

<1%

icon for Wells Fargo

Wells Fargo

$3,108 Vol.

<1%

icon for Citigroup

Citigroup

$2,522 Vol.

<1%

icon for Barclays

Barclays

$3,392 Vol.

<1%

icon for Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank

$8,915 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Goldman Sachs holds the market's strongest implied probability for lead underwriter on OpenAI's anticipated 2026 IPO due to its recent capture of the "lead left" bookrunner role on the SpaceX offering and long-standing dominance in large technology listings. Both Goldman and Morgan Stanley have been selected as the primary bookrunners, with separate deal teams formed to manage conflicts amid simultaneous preparations for rival Anthropic's potential debut. Recent reports of OpenAI weighing a delay into 2027 amid market volatility introduced some uncertainty but did not materially shift the consensus favoring the top two banks over others like UBS or Bank of America. Traders view the outcome as driven by established relationships, execution track records in AI-related deals, and the prestige of securing the lead position on what could be one of the largest IPOs in history.

This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”

If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$42,650
Date de fin
31 déc. 2027
Marché ouvert
May 21, 2026, 12:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Goldman Sachs holds the market's strongest implied probability for lead underwriter on OpenAI's anticipated 2026 IPO due to its recent capture of the "lead left" bookrunner role on the SpaceX offering and long-standing dominance in large technology listings. Both Goldman and Morgan Stanley have been selected as the primary bookrunners, with separate deal teams formed to manage conflicts amid simultaneous preparations for rival Anthropic's potential debut. Recent reports of OpenAI weighing a delay into 2027 amid market volatility introduced some uncertainty but did not materially shift the consensus favoring the top two banks over others like UBS or Bank of America. Traders view the outcome as driven by established relationships, execution track records in AI-related deals, and the prestige of securing the lead position on what could be one of the largest IPOs in history.

This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”

If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$42,650
Date de fin
31 déc. 2027
Marché ouvert
May 21, 2026, 12:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Connexes

icon for Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?

Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?

52%
icon for La capitalisation boursière d’OpenAI sera-t-elle de 1,5 T$ ou plus à la clôture du marché le jour de l’introduction en bourse d’ici le 31 décembre 2027 ?

La capitalisation boursière d’OpenAI sera-t-elle de 1,5 T$ ou plus à la clôture du marché le jour de l’introduction en bourse d’ici le 31 décembre 2027 ?

46%
Oui
icon for L'introduction en bourse d'OpenAI se clôturera-t-elle avec une capitalisation boursière supérieure à 800 milliards de dollars ?

L'introduction en bourse d'OpenAI se clôturera-t-elle avec une capitalisation boursière supérieure à 800 milliards de dollars ?

89%
Oui

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Questions fréquentes

« Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 9 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Goldman Sachs » à 76%, suivi de « Morgan Stanley » à 23%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 76¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 76% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO? » a généré $42.7K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le May 21, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO? », parcourez les 9 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO? » est « Goldman Sachs » à 76%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 76% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Morgan Stanley » à 23%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.