OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and subsequent internal deliberations center the market on whether an eventual IPO can clear a $1 trillion closing market cap. The company’s March 2026 funding round established an $852 billion post-money valuation after raising $122 billion, with SoftBank, Amazon, and Nvidia among the participants, yet CEO Sam Altman has treated any target below $1 trillion as a nonstarter. CFO Sarah Friar’s August 2026 employee update that an IPO would occur in 2027—absent a sharp business inflection—has reinforced the delay narrative after the anticipated September window passed without a public filing or roadshow. OpenAI continues to report substantial operating losses tied to data-center and compute spending while generating rapid revenue growth from ChatGPT’s hundreds of millions of users, leaving traders focused on whether improving margins or favorable equity-market conditions in 2027 can support the higher valuation threshold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$1,530,780 Vol.
$1,530,780 Vol.
30 déc. 2027
800 milliards $
94%
1 000 milliards $
95%
1,2 billion $ US
91%
1,4 T$
90%
1,6 T$
76%
$1,530,780 Vol.
$1,530,780 Vol.
30 déc. 2027
800 milliards $
$110,816 Vol.
94%
1 000 milliards $
$1,049,352 Vol.
95%
1,2 billion $ US
$249,448 Vol.
91%
1,4 T$
$69,335 Vol.
90%
1,6 T$
$51,829 Vol.
76%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and subsequent internal deliberations center the market on whether an eventual IPO can clear a $1 trillion closing market cap. The company’s March 2026 funding round established an $852 billion post-money valuation after raising $122 billion, with SoftBank, Amazon, and Nvidia among the participants, yet CEO Sam Altman has treated any target below $1 trillion as a nonstarter. CFO Sarah Friar’s August 2026 employee update that an IPO would occur in 2027—absent a sharp business inflection—has reinforced the delay narrative after the anticipated September window passed without a public filing or roadshow. OpenAI continues to report substantial operating losses tied to data-center and compute spending while generating rapid revenue growth from ChatGPT’s hundreds of millions of users, leaving traders focused on whether improving margins or favorable equity-market conditions in 2027 can support the higher valuation threshold.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Marché ouvert : Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Volume
$1,530,780Date de fin
31 déc. 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and subsequent internal deliberations center the market on whether an eventual IPO can clear a $1 trillion closing market cap. The company’s March 2026 funding round established an $852 billion post-money valuation after raising $122 billion, with SoftBank, Amazon, and Nvidia among the participants, yet CEO Sam Altman has treated any target below $1 trillion as a nonstarter. CFO Sarah Friar’s August 2026 employee update that an IPO would occur in 2027—absent a sharp business inflection—has reinforced the delay narrative after the anticipated September window passed without a public filing or roadshow. OpenAI continues to report substantial operating losses tied to data-center and compute spending while generating rapid revenue growth from ChatGPT’s hundreds of millions of users, leaving traders focused on whether improving margins or favorable equity-market conditions in 2027 can support the higher valuation threshold.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Volume
$1,530,780Date de fin
31 déc. 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and subsequent internal deliberations center the market on whether an eventual IPO can clear a $1 trillion closing market cap. The company’s March 2026 funding round established an $852 billion post-money valuation after raising $122 billion, with SoftBank, Amazon, and Nvidia among the participants, yet CEO Sam Altman has treated any target below $1 trillion as a nonstarter. CFO Sarah Friar’s August 2026 employee update that an IPO would occur in 2027—absent a sharp business inflection—has reinforced the delay narrative after the anticipated September window passed without a public filing or roadshow. OpenAI continues to report substantial operating losses tied to data-center and compute spending while generating rapid revenue growth from ChatGPT’s hundreds of millions of users, leaving traders focused on whether improving margins or favorable equity-market conditions in 2027 can support the higher valuation threshold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
La capitalisation boursière d’OpenAI sera-t-elle de 1,5 T$ ou plus à la clôture du marché le jour de l’introduction en bourse d’ici le 31 décembre 2027 ?
80%
Oui
OpenAI n'entrera-t-elle pas en bourse d'ici le 31 décembre 2026 ?
92%
Oui
SpaceX ou OpenAI : quelle introduction en bourse aura la plus grande capitalisation ?
54%
SpaceX
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