Persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, supported by elevated oil prices from geopolitical tensions, combined with a resilient labor market and steady GDP growth, has anchored the federal funds rate at the 3.50-3.75% range with markets pricing negligible odds of easing through year-end 2026. Traders view an unscheduled intermeeting cut as unlikely absent a severe financial or economic shock, consistent with recent FOMC minutes and economist surveys favoring a hold or potential hike later. While this consensus reflects skin-in-the-game positioning, an abrupt escalation in global risks or sharp deterioration in employment data could still prompt emergency action before 2027.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourBaisse du taux d'urgence de la Fed avant 2027 ?
Oui
$105,639 Vol.
$105,639 Vol.
Oui
$105,639 Vol.
$105,639 Vol.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Marché ouvert : Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, supported by elevated oil prices from geopolitical tensions, combined with a resilient labor market and steady GDP growth, has anchored the federal funds rate at the 3.50-3.75% range with markets pricing negligible odds of easing through year-end 2026. Traders view an unscheduled intermeeting cut as unlikely absent a severe financial or economic shock, consistent with recent FOMC minutes and economist surveys favoring a hold or potential hike later. While this consensus reflects skin-in-the-game positioning, an abrupt escalation in global risks or sharp deterioration in employment data could still prompt emergency action before 2027.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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