Market-implied odds for OpenAI's IPO valuation cluster around $1.0T–$1.5T, with the $1.0T–$1.25T bin leading at 33% amid a March 2026 private round at $852B and confidential S-1 filing. Traders are pricing in annualized revenue near $25B and enterprise share exceeding 40%, tempered by Q1 2026 cash burn of $3.7B and ongoing operating losses exceeding $14B projected for the year. High compute commitments, Anthropic competition, and uncertainty over 2026–2027 listing timing versus peers create a narrow distribution, with sub-$1T and $1.75T+ outcomes each under 12% as capital weighs growth multiples against path-to-profitability risks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$1.0T–$1.25T 33%
$1.25T–$1.5T 24.1%
$1.5T–$1.75T 13.1%
$1.75T–$2.0T 12%
$12,749 Vol.
$12,749 Vol.
1 juil. 2027
<$1T
10%
$1.0T–$1.25T
33%
$1.25T–$1.5T
24%
$1.5T–$1.75T
13%
$1.75T–$2.0T
12%
$2.0T–$2.25T
3%
$2.25T–$2.5T
6%
$2.5T+
3%
$1.0T–$1.25T 33%
$1.25T–$1.5T 24.1%
$1.5T–$1.75T 13.1%
$1.75T–$2.0T 12%
$12,749 Vol.
$12,749 Vol.
1 juil. 2027
<$1T
$1,841 Vol.
10%
$1.0T–$1.25T
$1,833 Vol.
33%
$1.25T–$1.5T
$1,586 Vol.
24%
$1.5T–$1.75T
$849 Vol.
13%
$1.75T–$2.0T
$2,562 Vol.
12%
$2.0T–$2.25T
$1,123 Vol.
3%
$2.25T–$2.5T
$860 Vol.
6%
$2.5T+
$2,097 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Market-implied odds for OpenAI's IPO valuation cluster around $1.0T–$1.5T, with the $1.0T–$1.25T bin leading at 33% amid a March 2026 private round at $852B and confidential S-1 filing. Traders are pricing in annualized revenue near $25B and enterprise share exceeding 40%, tempered by Q1 2026 cash burn of $3.7B and ongoing operating losses exceeding $14B projected for the year. High compute commitments, Anthropic competition, and uncertainty over 2026–2027 listing timing versus peers create a narrow distribution, with sub-$1T and $1.75T+ outcomes each under 12% as capital weighs growth multiples against path-to-profitability risks.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
Volume
$12,749Date de fin
1 juil. 2027Marché ouvert
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Market-implied odds for OpenAI's IPO valuation cluster around $1.0T–$1.5T, with the $1.0T–$1.25T bin leading at 33% amid a March 2026 private round at $852B and confidential S-1 filing. Traders are pricing in annualized revenue near $25B and enterprise share exceeding 40%, tempered by Q1 2026 cash burn of $3.7B and ongoing operating losses exceeding $14B projected for the year. High compute commitments, Anthropic competition, and uncertainty over 2026–2027 listing timing versus peers create a narrow distribution, with sub-$1T and $1.75T+ outcomes each under 12% as capital weighs growth multiples against path-to-profitability risks.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$12,749Date de fin
1 juil. 2027Marché ouvert
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied odds for OpenAI's IPO valuation cluster around $1.0T–$1.5T, with the $1.0T–$1.25T bin leading at 33% amid a March 2026 private round at $852B and confidential S-1 filing. Traders are pricing in annualized revenue near $25B and enterprise share exceeding 40%, tempered by Q1 2026 cash burn of $3.7B and ongoing operating losses exceeding $14B projected for the year. High compute commitments, Anthropic competition, and uncertainty over 2026–2027 listing timing versus peers create a narrow distribution, with sub-$1T and $1.75T+ outcomes each under 12% as capital weighs growth multiples against path-to-profitability risks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
Will OpenAI raise less than $30B in its IPO?
38%
La capitalisation boursière d’OpenAI sera-t-elle de 1,5 T$ ou plus à la clôture du marché le jour de l’introduction en bourse d’ici le 31 décembre 2027 ?
33%
Oui
L'introduction en bourse d'OpenAI se clôturera-t-elle avec une capitalisation boursière supérieure à 800 milliards de dollars ?
87%
Oui
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