OpenAI's recent confidential IPO filing and pursuit of up to a $1 trillion valuation, versus its $852 billion March 2026 private mark, anchor trader sentiment around primary raise size. With $2 billion monthly revenue yet no profitability, plus a just-completed $7 billion secondary tender at the latest valuation, the market prices elevated uncertainty over timing—shifting from potential late-2026 listing toward 2027 to secure higher proceeds amid AI sector competition. This dynamic supports the 36.9% implied probability on raises below $30 billion while sustaining notable odds on $100 billion-plus outcomes if market conditions and Altman’s targets align. Key near-term catalysts include any public S-1 details or macroeconomic shifts affecting tech IPO appetite.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHow much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?
How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?
<$30B 33.9%
$40B–$50B 20.6%
$80B–$90B 18.9%
$100B+ 17%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2027
<$30B
34%
$30B–$40B
4%
$40B–$50B
22%
$50B–$60B
6%
$60B–$70B
8%
$70B–$80B
6%
$80B–$90B
19%
$90B–$100B
5%
$100B+
30%
<$30B 33.9%
$40B–$50B 20.6%
$80B–$90B 18.9%
$100B+ 17%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2027
<$30B
$476 Vol.
34%
$30B–$40B
$463 Vol.
4%
$40B–$50B
$1,621 Vol.
22%
$50B–$60B
$825 Vol.
6%
$60B–$70B
$496 Vol.
8%
$70B–$80B
$489 Vol.
6%
$80B–$90B
$448 Vol.
19%
$90B–$100B
$306 Vol.
5%
$100B+
$637 Vol.
30%
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's recent confidential IPO filing and pursuit of up to a $1 trillion valuation, versus its $852 billion March 2026 private mark, anchor trader sentiment around primary raise size. With $2 billion monthly revenue yet no profitability, plus a just-completed $7 billion secondary tender at the latest valuation, the market prices elevated uncertainty over timing—shifting from potential late-2026 listing toward 2027 to secure higher proceeds amid AI sector competition. This dynamic supports the 36.9% implied probability on raises below $30 billion while sustaining notable odds on $100 billion-plus outcomes if market conditions and Altman’s targets align. Key near-term catalysts include any public S-1 details or macroeconomic shifts affecting tech IPO appetite.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : May 21, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
Volume
$5,761Date de fin
31 déc. 2027Marché ouvert
May 21, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's recent confidential IPO filing and pursuit of up to a $1 trillion valuation, versus its $852 billion March 2026 private mark, anchor trader sentiment around primary raise size. With $2 billion monthly revenue yet no profitability, plus a just-completed $7 billion secondary tender at the latest valuation, the market prices elevated uncertainty over timing—shifting from potential late-2026 listing toward 2027 to secure higher proceeds amid AI sector competition. This dynamic supports the 36.9% implied probability on raises below $30 billion while sustaining notable odds on $100 billion-plus outcomes if market conditions and Altman’s targets align. Key near-term catalysts include any public S-1 details or macroeconomic shifts affecting tech IPO appetite.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$5,761Date de fin
31 déc. 2027Marché ouvert
May 21, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI's recent confidential IPO filing and pursuit of up to a $1 trillion valuation, versus its $852 billion March 2026 private mark, anchor trader sentiment around primary raise size. With $2 billion monthly revenue yet no profitability, plus a just-completed $7 billion secondary tender at the latest valuation, the market prices elevated uncertainty over timing—shifting from potential late-2026 listing toward 2027 to secure higher proceeds amid AI sector competition. This dynamic supports the 36.9% implied probability on raises below $30 billion while sustaining notable odds on $100 billion-plus outcomes if market conditions and Altman’s targets align. Key near-term catalysts include any public S-1 details or macroeconomic shifts affecting tech IPO appetite.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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