SpaceX’s confidential IPO filing and subsequent pricing at $135 per share have anchored trader consensus around the 1.75-2.00T valuation band, reflecting the company’s explicit target for a record $75 billion raise and implied market capitalization near $1.75 trillion. This positioning incorporates 2025 revenue of $18.7 billion—driven primarily by Starlink’s $11.4 billion contribution—alongside heavy capital expenditures and a reported net loss, while discounting analyst models such as Morningstar’s $780 billion discounted-cash-flow estimate. Market-implied odds embed expectations of strong institutional demand and limited near-term supply, consistent with historical precedent for high-growth technology listings priced at elevated revenue multiples. Realistic challenges include post-offering volatility if first-day trading reveals weaker demand or if regulatory scrutiny of Starlink expansion intensifies.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour1,75-2,00 T 99.6%
2,00-2,25 T 2.3%
2,25-2,50 T <1%
<1,25T <1%
$244,895 Vol.
$244,895 Vol.
<1,25T
<1%
1,25-1,50T
<1%
1,50-1,75 T
<1%
1,75-2,00 T
100%
2,00-2,25 T
2%
2,25-2,50 T
<1%
2,50 T+
<1%
1,75-2,00 T 99.6%
2,00-2,25 T 2.3%
2,25-2,50 T <1%
<1,25T <1%
$244,895 Vol.
$244,895 Vol.
<1,25T
$71,614 Vol.
<1%
1,25-1,50T
$23,306 Vol.
<1%
1,50-1,75 T
$23,259 Vol.
<1%
1,75-2,00 T
$52,902 Vol.
100%
2,00-2,25 T
$27,588 Vol.
2%
2,25-2,50 T
$19,516 Vol.
<1%
2,50 T+
$26,835 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s confidential IPO filing and subsequent pricing at $135 per share have anchored trader consensus around the 1.75-2.00T valuation band, reflecting the company’s explicit target for a record $75 billion raise and implied market capitalization near $1.75 trillion. This positioning incorporates 2025 revenue of $18.7 billion—driven primarily by Starlink’s $11.4 billion contribution—alongside heavy capital expenditures and a reported net loss, while discounting analyst models such as Morningstar’s $780 billion discounted-cash-flow estimate. Market-implied odds embed expectations of strong institutional demand and limited near-term supply, consistent with historical precedent for high-growth technology listings priced at elevated revenue multiples. Realistic challenges include post-offering volatility if first-day trading reveals weaker demand or if regulatory scrutiny of Starlink expansion intensifies.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Volume
$244,895Marché ouvert
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s confidential IPO filing and subsequent pricing at $135 per share have anchored trader consensus around the 1.75-2.00T valuation band, reflecting the company’s explicit target for a record $75 billion raise and implied market capitalization near $1.75 trillion. This positioning incorporates 2025 revenue of $18.7 billion—driven primarily by Starlink’s $11.4 billion contribution—alongside heavy capital expenditures and a reported net loss, while discounting analyst models such as Morningstar’s $780 billion discounted-cash-flow estimate. Market-implied odds embed expectations of strong institutional demand and limited near-term supply, consistent with historical precedent for high-growth technology listings priced at elevated revenue multiples. Realistic challenges include post-offering volatility if first-day trading reveals weaker demand or if regulatory scrutiny of Starlink expansion intensifies.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$244,895Marché ouvert
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX’s confidential IPO filing and subsequent pricing at $135 per share have anchored trader consensus around the 1.75-2.00T valuation band, reflecting the company’s explicit target for a record $75 billion raise and implied market capitalization near $1.75 trillion. This positioning incorporates 2025 revenue of $18.7 billion—driven primarily by Starlink’s $11.4 billion contribution—alongside heavy capital expenditures and a reported net loss, while discounting analyst models such as Morningstar’s $780 billion discounted-cash-flow estimate. Market-implied odds embed expectations of strong institutional demand and limited near-term supply, consistent with historical precedent for high-growth technology listings priced at elevated revenue multiples. Realistic challenges include post-offering volatility if first-day trading reveals weaker demand or if regulatory scrutiny of Starlink expansion intensifies.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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