SpaceX's decision to price its June 2026 IPO at $135 per share, targeting a $1.75–1.77 trillion valuation and raising a record $75 billion, anchors the 94% trader consensus on the 1.75–2.00T band. This pricing reflects the company's ~$19 billion trailing revenue, Starlink cash flow momentum, launch dominance, and elevated multiples typical of high-growth space and AI-adjacent assets, despite ongoing unprofitability. Oversubscribed demand and secondary market precedents near $1.2–1.8 trillion reinforced the range. Scenarios that could still shift resolution include last-minute regulatory adjustments to share count or final valuation mechanics, or a post-pricing reallocation that pushes the effective IPO cap outside the band.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour1,75-2,00 T 88.1%
2,00-2,25 T 2.3%
1,50-1,75 T <1%
2,25-2,50 T <1%
$244,289 Vol.
$244,289 Vol.
<1,25T
<1%
1,25-1,50T
<1%
1,50-1,75 T
<1%
1,75-2,00 T
94%
2,00-2,25 T
2%
2,25-2,50 T
<1%
2,50 T+
<1%
1,75-2,00 T 88.1%
2,00-2,25 T 2.3%
1,50-1,75 T <1%
2,25-2,50 T <1%
$244,289 Vol.
$244,289 Vol.
<1,25T
<1%
1,25-1,50T
<1%
1,50-1,75 T
<1%
1,75-2,00 T
94%
2,00-2,25 T
2%
2,25-2,50 T
<1%
2,50 T+
<1%
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX's decision to price its June 2026 IPO at $135 per share, targeting a $1.75–1.77 trillion valuation and raising a record $75 billion, anchors the 94% trader consensus on the 1.75–2.00T band. This pricing reflects the company's ~$19 billion trailing revenue, Starlink cash flow momentum, launch dominance, and elevated multiples typical of high-growth space and AI-adjacent assets, despite ongoing unprofitability. Oversubscribed demand and secondary market precedents near $1.2–1.8 trillion reinforced the range. Scenarios that could still shift resolution include last-minute regulatory adjustments to share count or final valuation mechanics, or a post-pricing reallocation that pushes the effective IPO cap outside the band.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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