Market icon

Claude Mythos released by…?

Market icon

Claude Mythos released by…?

NEW

$21,767 Vol.

Apr 30, 2026
Polymarket

$21,767 Vol.

Polymarket

March 31

$13,216 Vol.

1%

April 30

$8,241 Vol.

36%

30 juin

$319 Vol.

45%

A data leak on March 26, 2026, exposed Anthropic's unreleased "Claude Mythos" model, described as their most capable yet with significant advances in coding, reasoning, and cybersecurity, which the company has confirmed is now in early access testing. You can read more about that here: https://fortune.com/2026/03/26/anthropic-says-testing-mythos-powerful-new-ai-model-after-data-leak-reveals-its-existence-step-change-in-capabilities/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases "Claude Mythos" or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak described above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A qualifying model must be named "Claude Mythos" (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X, would count) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting. Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public. If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.A CMS misconfiguration at Anthropic on March 27, 2026, leaked draft documents revealing Claude Mythos, a new large language model described as a "step change" in capabilities above Claude Opus, with exceptional performance in reasoning, coding, and cybersecurity benchmarks. Anthropic confirmed the model is in internal testing but not publicly released, citing unprecedented risks that prompted a plunge in cybersecurity stocks like CrowdStrike and Palo Alto Networks. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this, heavily favoring Anthropic amid intense AI competition from OpenAI and xAI, though no firm release timeline exists—watch for official announcements or developer previews that could solidify positioning or spark delays due to safety evaluations.

A CMS misconfiguration at Anthropic on March 27, 2026, leaked draft documents revealing Claude Mythos, a new large language model described as a "step change" in capabilities above Claude Opus, with exceptional performance in reasoning, coding, and cybersecurity benchmarks. Anthropic confirmed the model is in internal testing but not publicly released, citing unprecedented risks that prompted a plunge in cybersecurity stocks like CrowdStrike and Palo Alto Networks. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this, heavily favoring Anthropic amid intense AI competition from OpenAI and xAI, though no firm release timeline exists—watch for official announcements or developer previews that could solidify positioning or spark delays due to safety evaluations.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
A data leak on March 26, 2026, exposed Anthropic's unreleased "Claude Mythos" model, described as their most capable yet with significant advances in coding, reasoning, and cybersecurity, which the company has confirmed is now in early access testing. You can read more about that here: https://fortune.com/2026/03/26/anthropic-says-testing-mythos-powerful-new-ai-model-after-data-leak-reveals-its-existence-step-change-in-capabilities/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases "Claude Mythos" or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak described above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A qualifying model must be named "Claude Mythos" (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X, would count) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting. Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public. If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.A CMS misconfiguration at Anthropic on March 27, 2026, leaked draft documents revealing Claude Mythos, a new large language model described as a "step change" in capabilities above Claude Opus, with exceptional performance in reasoning, coding, and cybersecurity benchmarks. Anthropic confirmed the model is in internal testing but not publicly released, citing unprecedented risks that prompted a plunge in cybersecurity stocks like CrowdStrike and Palo Alto Networks. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this, heavily favoring Anthropic amid intense AI competition from OpenAI and xAI, though no firm release timeline exists—watch for official announcements or developer previews that could solidify positioning or spark delays due to safety evaluations.

A CMS misconfiguration at Anthropic on March 27, 2026, leaked draft documents revealing Claude Mythos, a new large language model described as a "step change" in capabilities above Claude Opus, with exceptional performance in reasoning, coding, and cybersecurity benchmarks. Anthropic confirmed the model is in internal testing but not publicly released, citing unprecedented risks that prompted a plunge in cybersecurity stocks like CrowdStrike and Palo Alto Networks. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this, heavily favoring Anthropic amid intense AI competition from OpenAI and xAI, though no firm release timeline exists—watch for official announcements or developer previews that could solidify positioning or spark delays due to safety evaluations.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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Questions fréquentes

« Claude Mythos released by…? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 3 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 30 juin » à 45%, suivi de « April 30 » à 36%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 45¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 45% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Claude Mythos released by…? » a généré $21.8K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Mar 27, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Claude Mythos released by…? », parcourez les 3 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Claude Mythos released by…? » est « 30 juin » à 45%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 45% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « April 30 » à 36%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Claude Mythos released by…? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.