Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations confirm Seoul's total April 2026 precipitation at just 34 mm—well below the 40 mm threshold and 47% of the climatological normal of 73 mm—driving unanimous trader consensus on the <40 mm outcome. Early-month rains on the 4th and 9th accounted for most accumulation, followed by prolonged high-pressure dominance and limited moisture advection, fostering dry, warmer-than-average conditions (third-warmest April on record). This aligns with occasional spring drought analogs in the region, where frontal systems weaken post-winter. Post-finalization data revisions are exceedingly rare, though hypothetical measurement adjustments from ongoing quality checks could theoretically challenge the positioning, albeit with negligible probability.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourPrécipitations à Séoul en avril ?
Précipitations à Séoul en avril ?
<40 mm 100.0%
40-45 mm <1%
45-50 mm <1%
50-55 mm <1%
$49,513 Vol.
$49,513 Vol.
30 avr. 2026
<40 mm
Oui
40-45 mm
Non
45-50 mm
Non
50-55 mm
Non
55-60 mm
Non
60-65 mm
Non
65-70 mm
Non
70-75 mm
Non
75 mm ou plus
Non
<40 mm 100.0%
40-45 mm <1%
45-50 mm <1%
50-55 mm <1%
$49,513 Vol.
$49,513 Vol.
30 avr. 2026
<40 mm
$28,163 Vol.
Oui
40-45 mm
$2,360 Vol.
Non
45-50 mm
$3,026 Vol.
Non
50-55 mm
$4,818 Vol.
Non
55-60 mm
$3,844 Vol.
Non
60-65 mm
$1,562 Vol.
Non
65-70 mm
$1,608 Vol.
Non
70-75 mm
$1,905 Vol.
Non
75 mm ou plus
$2,227 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations confirm Seoul's total April 2026 precipitation at just 34 mm—well below the 40 mm threshold and 47% of the climatological normal of 73 mm—driving unanimous trader consensus on the <40 mm outcome. Early-month rains on the 4th and 9th accounted for most accumulation, followed by prolonged high-pressure dominance and limited moisture advection, fostering dry, warmer-than-average conditions (third-warmest April on record). This aligns with occasional spring drought analogs in the region, where frontal systems weaken post-winter. Post-finalization data revisions are exceedingly rare, though hypothetical measurement adjustments from ongoing quality checks could theoretically challenge the positioning, albeit with negligible probability.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 PM ET
Volume
$49,513Date de fin
30 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations confirm Seoul's total April 2026 precipitation at just 34 mm—well below the 40 mm threshold and 47% of the climatological normal of 73 mm—driving unanimous trader consensus on the <40 mm outcome. Early-month rains on the 4th and 9th accounted for most accumulation, followed by prolonged high-pressure dominance and limited moisture advection, fostering dry, warmer-than-average conditions (third-warmest April on record). This aligns with occasional spring drought analogs in the region, where frontal systems weaken post-winter. Post-finalization data revisions are exceedingly rare, though hypothetical measurement adjustments from ongoing quality checks could theoretically challenge the positioning, albeit with negligible probability.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$49,513Date de fin
30 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations confirm Seoul's total April 2026 precipitation at just 34 mm—well below the 40 mm threshold and 47% of the climatological normal of 73 mm—driving unanimous trader consensus on the <40 mm outcome. Early-month rains on the 4th and 9th accounted for most accumulation, followed by prolonged high-pressure dominance and limited moisture advection, fostering dry, warmer-than-average conditions (third-warmest April on record). This aligns with occasional spring drought analogs in the region, where frontal systems weaken post-winter. Post-finalization data revisions are exceedingly rare, though hypothetical measurement adjustments from ongoing quality checks could theoretically challenge the positioning, albeit with negligible probability.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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