Trader consensus on Polymarket positions total April 2026 precipitation in Seoul below 40mm at 44.5% implied probability, reflecting a dry early-month accumulation under persistent high-pressure systems that have suppressed convective activity, according to Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations. Historical April climatological averages hover at 65-80mm, with typically 7-8 rainy days, but current ENSO-neutral conditions and mild temperatures have limited moisture influx from the East Sea. Recent light showers around April 9-10 added minimal totals (under 10mm in central regions), while KMA short-range forecasts indicate scattered rain this week totaling 5-20mm through month-end. Model consensus suggests low intensification risk, though uncertainty remains in late-spring frontal passages; monitor KMA daily updates for shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourPrécipitations à Séoul en avril ?
Précipitations à Séoul en avril ?
<40 mm 59%
65-70 mm 16%
45-50 mm 7.8%
55-60 mm 8%
$16,660 Vol.
$16,660 Vol.
30 avr. 2026
<40 mm
45%
40-45 mm
12%
45-50 mm
8%
50-55 mm
10%
55-60 mm
8%
60-65 mm
5%
65-70 mm
16%
70-75 mm
2%
75 mm ou plus
9%
<40 mm 59%
65-70 mm 16%
45-50 mm 7.8%
55-60 mm 8%
$16,660 Vol.
$16,660 Vol.
30 avr. 2026
<40 mm
$10,637 Vol.
45%
40-45 mm
$250 Vol.
12%
45-50 mm
$255 Vol.
8%
50-55 mm
$1,694 Vol.
10%
55-60 mm
$2,352 Vol.
8%
60-65 mm
$182 Vol.
5%
65-70 mm
$393 Vol.
16%
70-75 mm
$211 Vol.
2%
75 mm ou plus
$688 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions total April 2026 precipitation in Seoul below 40mm at 44.5% implied probability, reflecting a dry early-month accumulation under persistent high-pressure systems that have suppressed convective activity, according to Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations. Historical April climatological averages hover at 65-80mm, with typically 7-8 rainy days, but current ENSO-neutral conditions and mild temperatures have limited moisture influx from the East Sea. Recent light showers around April 9-10 added minimal totals (under 10mm in central regions), while KMA short-range forecasts indicate scattered rain this week totaling 5-20mm through month-end. Model consensus suggests low intensification risk, though uncertainty remains in late-spring frontal passages; monitor KMA daily updates for shifts.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 PM ET
Volume
$16,660Date de fin
30 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions total April 2026 precipitation in Seoul below 40mm at 44.5% implied probability, reflecting a dry early-month accumulation under persistent high-pressure systems that have suppressed convective activity, according to Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations. Historical April climatological averages hover at 65-80mm, with typically 7-8 rainy days, but current ENSO-neutral conditions and mild temperatures have limited moisture influx from the East Sea. Recent light showers around April 9-10 added minimal totals (under 10mm in central regions), while KMA short-range forecasts indicate scattered rain this week totaling 5-20mm through month-end. Model consensus suggests low intensification risk, though uncertainty remains in late-spring frontal passages; monitor KMA daily updates for shifts.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$16,660Date de fin
30 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket positions total April 2026 precipitation in Seoul below 40mm at 44.5% implied probability, reflecting a dry early-month accumulation under persistent high-pressure systems that have suppressed convective activity, according to Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations. Historical April climatological averages hover at 65-80mm, with typically 7-8 rainy days, but current ENSO-neutral conditions and mild temperatures have limited moisture influx from the East Sea. Recent light showers around April 9-10 added minimal totals (under 10mm in central regions), while KMA short-range forecasts indicate scattered rain this week totaling 5-20mm through month-end. Model consensus suggests low intensification risk, though uncertainty remains in late-spring frontal passages; monitor KMA daily updates for shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes