**Russia’s September 2026 State Duma elections feature a 5% proportional threshold for party-list seats.** Yabloko, the sole registered party openly campaigning on an anti-war platform and calls for peace and freedom, last cleared just 1.3% nationally in 2021. Recent polling places its support near 3% overall (slightly higher among younger or likely voters but still below the barrier). Intensified administrative and legal pressure since late 2025—including fines and prosecutions of leaders and activists for past social-media activity, “extremist symbols,” or “discrediting the armed forces,” plus foreign-agent designations—has disqualified multiple prominent candidates and restricted campaign operations. The Central Election Commission registered the party’s federal list in late July 2026, yet these constraints, combined with the party’s limited regional infrastructure outside a few areas and the broader dominance of United Russia plus systemic opposition blocs, leave little room for a threshold breakthrough. Trader pricing aligns with these structural and polling realities rather than any near-term reversal.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourÉlections en Russie : Yabloko franchit le seuil de la Douma ?
Élections en Russie : Yabloko franchit le seuil de la Douma ?
Oui
7% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
20 sept. 2026
Oui
7% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
20 sept. 2026
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.**Russia’s September 2026 State Duma elections feature a 5% proportional threshold for party-list seats.** Yabloko, the sole registered party openly campaigning on an anti-war platform and calls for peace and freedom, last cleared just 1.3% nationally in 2021. Recent polling places its support near 3% overall (slightly higher among younger or likely voters but still below the barrier).
Intensified administrative and legal pressure since late 2025—including fines and prosecutions of leaders and activists for past social-media activity, “extremist symbols,” or “discrediting the armed forces,” plus foreign-agent designations—has disqualified multiple prominent candidates and restricted campaign operations. The Central Election Commission registered the party’s federal list in late July 2026, yet these constraints, combined with the party’s limited regional infrastructure outside a few areas and the broader dominance of United Russia plus systemic opposition blocs, leave little room for a threshold breakthrough. Trader pricing aligns with these structural and polling realities rather than any near-term reversal.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Marché ouvert : Aug 7, 2026, 9:57 AM ET
Volume
$5,318Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 7, 2026, 9:57 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.**Russia’s September 2026 State Duma elections feature a 5% proportional threshold for party-list seats.** Yabloko, the sole registered party openly campaigning on an anti-war platform and calls for peace and freedom, last cleared just 1.3% nationally in 2021. Recent polling places its support near 3% overall (slightly higher among younger or likely voters but still below the barrier).
Intensified administrative and legal pressure since late 2025—including fines and prosecutions of leaders and activists for past social-media activity, “extremist symbols,” or “discrediting the armed forces,” plus foreign-agent designations—has disqualified multiple prominent candidates and restricted campaign operations. The Central Election Commission registered the party’s federal list in late July 2026, yet these constraints, combined with the party’s limited regional infrastructure outside a few areas and the broader dominance of United Russia plus systemic opposition blocs, leave little room for a threshold breakthrough. Trader pricing aligns with these structural and polling realities rather than any near-term reversal.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$5,318Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 7, 2026, 9:57 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Russia’s September 2026 State Duma elections feature a 5% proportional threshold for party-list seats.** Yabloko, the sole registered party openly campaigning on an anti-war platform and calls for peace and freedom, last cleared just 1.3% nationally in 2021. Recent polling places its support near 3% overall (slightly higher among younger or likely voters but still below the barrier). Intensified administrative and legal pressure since late 2025—including fines and prosecutions of leaders and activists for past social-media activity, “extremist symbols,” or “discrediting the armed forces,” plus foreign-agent designations—has disqualified multiple prominent candidates and restricted campaign operations. The Central Election Commission registered the party’s federal list in late July 2026, yet these constraints, combined with the party’s limited regional infrastructure outside a few areas and the broader dominance of United Russia plus systemic opposition blocs, leave little room for a threshold breakthrough. Trader pricing aligns with these structural and polling realities rather than any near-term reversal.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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