Republican Alan Wilson holds a commanding lead in the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial race due to the state's consistent Republican dominance in statewide contests since 2003 and the absence of an incumbent after Henry McMaster reached his consecutive term limit. Wilson, the sitting attorney general, secured the nomination decisively in the June 23 runoff following a crowded primary and consolidated support from party figures including President Trump. Democratic nominee Jermaine Johnson, a state representative, won his primary but faces structural headwinds in a state where Republicans have won every gubernatorial election since 1998. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with polling averages and forecasting models showing Wilson favored by wide margins. Unlikely shifts could arise from major scandals, extreme turnout anomalies, or late national political realignments before the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$17,265 Vol.
$17,265 Vol.

Républicain
94%

Démocrate
6%
$17,265 Vol.
$17,265 Vol.

Républicain
94%

Démocrate
6%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Résolveur
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Résolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Alan Wilson holds a commanding lead in the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial race due to the state's consistent Republican dominance in statewide contests since 2003 and the absence of an incumbent after Henry McMaster reached his consecutive term limit. Wilson, the sitting attorney general, secured the nomination decisively in the June 23 runoff following a crowded primary and consolidated support from party figures including President Trump. Democratic nominee Jermaine Johnson, a state representative, won his primary but faces structural headwinds in a state where Republicans have won every gubernatorial election since 1998. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with polling averages and forecasting models showing Wilson favored by wide margins. Unlikely shifts could arise from major scandals, extreme turnout anomalies, or late national political realignments before the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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