Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for the S&P 500 closing in the 6700–6800 range on April 8, 2026, aligning with the index's official settlement at 6,782.81 after a 2.5% surge from the prior day's 6,616.85 close. This strong positioning was driven by a U.S.-Iran two-week ceasefire deal averting escalation, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and triggering a 16–20% oil price collapse to under $95 per barrel, alleviating inflation fears and igniting a broad relief rally—evident in the Dow's 1,300-point gain and Nasdaq's 2.8% advance. With exchange-verified data now public, challenges would require unprecedented revisions to closing prints, though trader capital overwhelmingly backs the outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourPrix de clôture du S&P 500 (SPX) le 8 avril ?
Prix de clôture du S&P 500 (SPX) le 8 avril ?
6700–6800 100.0%
<6600 <1%
6600–6700 <1%
6800–6900 <1%
$18,104 Vol.
$18,104 Vol.
<6600
Non
6600–6700
Non
6700–6800
Oui
6800–6900
Non
6900–7000
Non
7000+
Non
6700–6800 100.0%
<6600 <1%
6600–6700 <1%
6800–6900 <1%
$18,104 Vol.
$18,104 Vol.
<6600
Non
6600–6700
Non
6700–6800
Oui
6800–6900
Non
6900–7000
Non
7000+
Non
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the April 8, 2026 trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Marché ouvert : Apr 7, 2026, 9:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the April 8, 2026 trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for the S&P 500 closing in the 6700–6800 range on April 8, 2026, aligning with the index's official settlement at 6,782.81 after a 2.5% surge from the prior day's 6,616.85 close. This strong positioning was driven by a U.S.-Iran two-week ceasefire deal averting escalation, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and triggering a 16–20% oil price collapse to under $95 per barrel, alleviating inflation fears and igniting a broad relief rally—evident in the Dow's 1,300-point gain and Nasdaq's 2.8% advance. With exchange-verified data now public, challenges would require unprecedented revisions to closing prints, though trader capital overwhelmingly backs the outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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