Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 55% probability for WTI crude settling between $60-70 per barrel in April 2026, reflecting expectations of persistent supply overhang from non-OPEC producers amid tepid global demand growth. Current WTI spot trades near $68/bbl, with NYMEX futures in mild contango signaling $65-68 for 2026 contracts per CME data. Key drivers include OPEC+'s December 5 meeting on potential output hikes, record U.S. shale output exceeding 13.5 mb/d, and China's economic slowdown capping consumption at 15 mb/d. Fed rate cuts could boost demand if recession risks fade, but EIA forecasts steady inventories; watch January STEO for updates.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour↑ 150 $
51%
↑ 140 $
52%
↑ 130 $
52%
↑ 120 $
52%
↑ 110 $
52%
↑ 100 $
51%
↑ 90 $
52%
↓ 80 $
94%
↓ 70 $
94%
↓ 60 $
97%
↓ 50 $
97%
↓ 40 $
97%
↓ 30 $
97%
↓ 20 $
97%
$0.00 Vol.
↑ 150 $
51%
↑ 140 $
52%
↑ 130 $
52%
↑ 120 $
52%
↑ 110 $
52%
↑ 100 $
51%
↑ 90 $
52%
↓ 80 $
94%
↓ 70 $
94%
↓ 60 $
97%
↓ 50 $
97%
↓ 40 $
97%
↓ 30 $
97%
↓ 20 $
97%
For WTI futures, the active month refers to the nearest listed contract month. The active month changes at 6:00:00 PM ET at the start of the trading session two business days prior to that contract's last trading day, at which point the next listed contract becomes the active month.
For WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, the last trading day is defined as three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month, consistent with CME contract specifications.
Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Commodities.WTIM6%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Marché ouvert : Mar 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Commodities.WTIM6%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Commodities.WTIM6%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 55% probability for WTI crude settling between $60-70 per barrel in April 2026, reflecting expectations of persistent supply overhang from non-OPEC producers amid tepid global demand growth. Current WTI spot trades near $68/bbl, with NYMEX futures in mild contango signaling $65-68 for 2026 contracts per CME data. Key drivers include OPEC+'s December 5 meeting on potential output hikes, record U.S. shale output exceeding 13.5 mb/d, and China's economic slowdown capping consumption at 15 mb/d. Fed rate cuts could boost demand if recession risks fade, but EIA forecasts steady inventories; watch January STEO for updates.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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