Recent geopolitical developments, particularly progress toward a US-Iran interim agreement and potential reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, have driven sharp declines in crude oil prices amid easing supply disruption fears. As of June 14, 2026, WTI crude trades near $81 per barrel after dropping over 3% in a single session, with Brent around $84, following earlier spikes above $100 tied to Middle East production shut-ins exceeding 11 million barrels per day. The EIA projects elevated averages near $105 through July if closures persist, though consensus forecasts anticipate moderation to the mid-$80s to low-$90s by quarter-end as inventories stabilize. Key near-term catalysts include finalization of ceasefire talks and OPEC+ production decisions, which continue to shape market-implied odds for any near-term price thresholds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLe pétrole brut (CL) atteindra-t-il__ d'ici la fin du mois de juin ?
$27,286,426 Vol.
↑ 200 $
1%
↑ 175 $
1%
↑ 150 $
1%
↑ 140 $
1%
↑ 130 $
1%
↑ 120 $
3%
↑ 115 $
3%
↑ $110
5%
↑ $105
6%
↑ $100
4%
↑ $95
16%
↓ 80 $
91%
↓ 75 $
63%
↓ 70 $
22%
↓ 60 $
4%
↓ 55 $
1%
↓ 52 $
1%
↓ 50 $
1%
↓ 47 $
<1%
↓ 45 $
1%
↓ 40 $
<1%
↓ 35 $
<1%
$27,286,426 Vol.
↑ 200 $
1%
↑ 175 $
1%
↑ 150 $
1%
↑ 140 $
1%
↑ 130 $
1%
↑ 120 $
3%
↑ 115 $
3%
↑ $110
5%
↑ $105
6%
↑ $100
4%
↑ $95
16%
↓ 80 $
91%
↓ 75 $
63%
↓ 70 $
22%
↓ 60 $
4%
↓ 55 $
1%
↓ 52 $
1%
↓ 50 $
1%
↓ 47 $
<1%
↓ 45 $
1%
↓ 40 $
<1%
↓ 35 $
<1%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Marché ouvert : Mar 3, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent geopolitical developments, particularly progress toward a US-Iran interim agreement and potential reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, have driven sharp declines in crude oil prices amid easing supply disruption fears. As of June 14, 2026, WTI crude trades near $81 per barrel after dropping over 3% in a single session, with Brent around $84, following earlier spikes above $100 tied to Middle East production shut-ins exceeding 11 million barrels per day. The EIA projects elevated averages near $105 through July if closures persist, though consensus forecasts anticipate moderation to the mid-$80s to low-$90s by quarter-end as inventories stabilize. Key near-term catalysts include finalization of ceasefire talks and OPEC+ production decisions, which continue to shape market-implied odds for any near-term price thresholds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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