Market icon
Économie·Iran

Will gas hit __ by end of April?

Market icon
Économie·Iran

Will gas hit __ by end of April?

mars 31

avr. 30

mars 31

avr. 30

NOUVEAU
30 avr. 2026
Polymarket

$1,692 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ $5.00

$119 Vol.

11%

↑ $4.75

$130 Vol.

16%

↑ $4.50

$126 Vol.

57%

↑ $4.25

$63 Vol.

77%

↑ $4.15

$40 Vol.

87%

↑ $4.05

$165 Vol.

88%

↓ $3.95

$320 Vol.

80%

↓ $3.85

$338 Vol.

37%

↓ $3.75

$39 Vol.

28%

↓ $3.50

$0 Vol.

41%

↓ $3.25

$0 Vol.

40%

↓ $3.00

$351 Vol.

9%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".U.S. national average gasoline prices recently surpassed $4 per gallon for the first time since 2022, driven primarily by surging crude oil costs above $110 per barrel amid escalating U.S.-Israel military actions against Iran that began in late February 2026. This conflict disrupted Middle East oil shipments, causing a $1-plus jump in pump prices throughout March, compounded by seasonal refinery maintenance wrap-ups and rising spring break demand. Traders monitor ongoing geopolitical tensions, potential Strategic Petroleum Reserve releases, and weekly EIA reports for de-escalation signals or further supply shocks that could push prices higher or stabilize them before April 30 resolution. Historical precedents show rapid reversals possible with diplomatic breakthroughs, though summer driving season looms as an upside risk.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).

The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Volume
$1,692
Date de fin
30 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 31, 2026, 11:04 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".U.S. national average gasoline prices recently surpassed $4 per gallon for the first time since 2022, driven primarily by surging crude oil costs above $110 per barrel amid escalating U.S.-Israel military actions against Iran that began in late February 2026. This conflict disrupted Middle East oil shipments, causing a $1-plus jump in pump prices throughout March, compounded by seasonal refinery maintenance wrap-ups and rising spring break demand. Traders monitor ongoing geopolitical tensions, potential Strategic Petroleum Reserve releases, and weekly EIA reports for de-escalation signals or further supply shocks that could push prices higher or stabilize them before April 30 resolution. Historical precedents show rapid reversals possible with diplomatic breakthroughs, though summer driving season looms as an upside risk.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).

The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Volume
$1,692
Date de fin
30 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 31, 2026, 11:04 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Will gas hit __ by end of April? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 12 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « ↑ $4.05 » à 88%, suivi de « ↑ $4.15 » à 87%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 88¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 88% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Will gas hit __ by end of April? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Mar 31, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Will gas hit __ by end of April? », parcourez les 12 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Will gas hit __ by end of April? » est « ↑ $4.05 » à 88%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 88% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « ↑ $4.15 » à 87%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Will gas hit __ by end of April? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.