Recent Pakistani offers to host US-Iran talks in Islamabad, following Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi's April visit to discuss mediation amid stalled nuclear negotiations, have driven Pakistan to the top trader consensus at 26.5%, edging out "No Meeting by June 30" at 25%. Oman and Qatar, sites of prior indirect talks, trail at 6.5% each, while Switzerland's historical role in Geneva accords holds 8.5%. The tight race reflects uncertainty over US willingness under current tensions, lack of official confirmations, and geopolitical risks like regional escalations. Separation could come from State Department announcements, Iranian acceptance, or diplomatic breakthroughs before summer deadlines.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourWhere will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
No Meeting by June 30 27%
Pakistan 27%
Oman 10%
Qatar 7%
$15,818 Vol.
$15,818 Vol.
No Meeting by June 30
27%
Pakistan
27%
Oman
10%
Qatar
7%
Switzerland
7%
Other - Middle East/North Africa
4%
Other
4%
Turkey
4%
UAE
3%
Austria
2%
Italy
2%
Other - Europe
2%
Saudi Arabia
2%
Egypt
2%
Russia
2%
USA
2%
Iran
2%
Iraq
1%
Kazakhstan
1%
No Meeting by June 30 27%
Pakistan 27%
Oman 10%
Qatar 7%
$15,818 Vol.
$15,818 Vol.
No Meeting by June 30
27%
Pakistan
27%
Oman
10%
Qatar
7%
Switzerland
7%
Other - Middle East/North Africa
4%
Other
4%
Turkey
4%
UAE
3%
Austria
2%
Italy
2%
Other - Europe
2%
Saudi Arabia
2%
Egypt
2%
Russia
2%
USA
2%
Iran
2%
Iraq
1%
Kazakhstan
1%
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”.
For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”.
If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Mar 24, 2026, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Pakistani offers to host US-Iran talks in Islamabad, following Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi's April visit to discuss mediation amid stalled nuclear negotiations, have driven Pakistan to the top trader consensus at 26.5%, edging out "No Meeting by June 30" at 25%. Oman and Qatar, sites of prior indirect talks, trail at 6.5% each, while Switzerland's historical role in Geneva accords holds 8.5%. The tight race reflects uncertainty over US willingness under current tensions, lack of official confirmations, and geopolitical risks like regional escalations. Separation could come from State Department announcements, Iranian acceptance, or diplomatic breakthroughs before summer deadlines.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes