Polymarket traders price a strong consensus for gold (XAUUSD) exceeding $3,000 per ounce by April 2026, with market-implied odds above 60% on upper price buckets, driven primarily by expectations of prolonged Fed easing and sticky inflation eroding real yields. Spot gold trades near $2,670/oz after record highs above $2,750, fueled by record central bank purchases—over 1,000 tonnes YTD—and safe-haven flows from Middle East tensions and U.S. election uncertainty. The USD index's 5% YTD drop amplifies upside, but risks include hawkish Fed pivots if inflation reaccelerates. Key catalysts ahead: December FOMC, January CPI data, and 2025 rate path projections, underscoring gold's role as an anti-fiat hedge amid de-dollarization trends.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour↑ 5 200 $
99%
↑ 5 100 $
100%
↑ 5 000 $
100%
↑ 4 900 $
50%
↑ 4 800 $
50%
↑ 4 700 $
100%
↑ 4 600 $
51%
↓ 4 500 $
51%
↓ 4 400 $
65%
↓ 4 300 $
100%
↓ 4 200 $
60%
↓ 4 100 $
100%
↓ 4 000 $
55%
↓ 3 900 $
98%
$0.00 Vol.
↑ 5 200 $
99%
↑ 5 100 $
100%
↑ 5 000 $
100%
↑ 4 900 $
50%
↑ 4 800 $
50%
↑ 4 700 $
100%
↑ 4 600 $
51%
↓ 4 500 $
51%
↓ 4 400 $
65%
↓ 4 300 $
100%
↓ 4 200 $
60%
↓ 4 100 $
100%
↓ 4 000 $
55%
↓ 3 900 $
98%
Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session as listed on Pyth will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Marché ouvert : Mar 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders price a strong consensus for gold (XAUUSD) exceeding $3,000 per ounce by April 2026, with market-implied odds above 60% on upper price buckets, driven primarily by expectations of prolonged Fed easing and sticky inflation eroding real yields. Spot gold trades near $2,670/oz after record highs above $2,750, fueled by record central bank purchases—over 1,000 tonnes YTD—and safe-haven flows from Middle East tensions and U.S. election uncertainty. The USD index's 5% YTD drop amplifies upside, but risks include hawkish Fed pivots if inflation reaccelerates. Key catalysts ahead: December FOMC, January CPI data, and 2025 rate path projections, underscoring gold's role as an anti-fiat hedge amid de-dollarization trends.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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