Polymarket traders price a modest range for Comex gold (GC) June settlement around current futures levels near $4,730/oz, with $4,600-$5,000 (25.5% implied probability) edging $4,200-$4,600 (20.5%) in a closely contested dynamic reflecting balanced bullish and bearish forces. Robust central bank buying—Poland leading with over 20 tonnes YTD amid emerging market diversification—sustains support, while bullish forecasts like Goldman Sachs' $5,400 year-end target fuel upside bets. Countering this, recent dollar strength and fading near-term Fed rate cut hopes following resilient US data have capped gains, pressuring spot prices from April highs above $4,746. Upcoming May CPI and June FOMC meeting loom as pivotal catalysts, with softer inflation potentially reigniting monetary easing expectations to favor higher bins.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourÀ quoi l'or (GC) se règlera-t-il en juin ?
À quoi l'or (GC) se règlera-t-il en juin ?
4 600 $-5 000 $ 26%
4 200 $-4 600 $ 20.5%
5 000 $ - 5 400 $ 17.4%
3 800 $ - 4 200 $ 11.9%
$907,212 Vol.
$907,212 Vol.
<3 800 $
5%
3 800 $ - 4 200 $
12%
4 200 $-4 600 $
21%
4 600 $-5 000 $
26%
5 000 $ - 5 400 $
17%
5 400 $ - 5 800 $
11%
5 800 $-6 200 $
6%
>6 200 $
4%
4 600 $-5 000 $ 26%
4 200 $-4 600 $ 20.5%
5 000 $ - 5 400 $ 17.4%
3 800 $ - 4 200 $ 11.9%
$907,212 Vol.
$907,212 Vol.
<3 800 $
5%
3 800 $ - 4 200 $
12%
4 200 $-4 600 $
21%
4 600 $-5 000 $
26%
5 000 $ - 5 400 $
17%
5 400 $ - 5 800 $
11%
5 800 $-6 200 $
6%
>6 200 $
4%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Marché ouvert : Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Source de résolution
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price a modest range for Comex gold (GC) June settlement around current futures levels near $4,730/oz, with $4,600-$5,000 (25.5% implied probability) edging $4,200-$4,600 (20.5%) in a closely contested dynamic reflecting balanced bullish and bearish forces. Robust central bank buying—Poland leading with over 20 tonnes YTD amid emerging market diversification—sustains support, while bullish forecasts like Goldman Sachs' $5,400 year-end target fuel upside bets. Countering this, recent dollar strength and fading near-term Fed rate cut hopes following resilient US data have capped gains, pressuring spot prices from April highs above $4,746. Upcoming May CPI and June FOMC meeting loom as pivotal catalysts, with softer inflation potentially reigniting monetary easing expectations to favor higher bins.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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