Polymarket traders price a 25% implied probability for Gold (GC) June 2026 settlement in the $4,600-$5,000 range, narrowly ahead of $4,200-$4,600 at 20.6%, with June futures trading near $4,725 amid contested sentiment on short-term trajectory. This tight contest reflects Friday's modest gains offset by the first weekly loss in five weeks, driven by higher oil prices reigniting inflation fears and curbing Federal Reserve rate cut bets, despite robust central bank buying (projected at 60 tonnes monthly) and protracted Middle East tensions including the ongoing Iran conflict. Key swing factors include May FOMC communications, upcoming CPI and PCE data, and USD index moves; hotter inflation could pressure lower bins, while escalating geopolitics supports upside.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourÀ quoi l'or (GC) se règlera-t-il en juin ?
À quoi l'or (GC) se règlera-t-il en juin ?
4 600 $-5 000 $ 25%
4 200 $-4 600 $ 20.6%
5 000 $ - 5 400 $ 17.5%
3 800 $ - 4 200 $ 11.8%
$907,212 Vol.
$907,212 Vol.
<3 800 $
5%
3 800 $ - 4 200 $
12%
4 200 $-4 600 $
21%
4 600 $-5 000 $
25%
5 000 $ - 5 400 $
18%
5 400 $ - 5 800 $
11%
5 800 $-6 200 $
6%
>6 200 $
4%
4 600 $-5 000 $ 25%
4 200 $-4 600 $ 20.6%
5 000 $ - 5 400 $ 17.5%
3 800 $ - 4 200 $ 11.8%
$907,212 Vol.
$907,212 Vol.
<3 800 $
5%
3 800 $ - 4 200 $
12%
4 200 $-4 600 $
21%
4 600 $-5 000 $
25%
5 000 $ - 5 400 $
18%
5 400 $ - 5 800 $
11%
5 800 $-6 200 $
6%
>6 200 $
4%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Marché ouvert : Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Source de résolution
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price a 25% implied probability for Gold (GC) June 2026 settlement in the $4,600-$5,000 range, narrowly ahead of $4,200-$4,600 at 20.6%, with June futures trading near $4,725 amid contested sentiment on short-term trajectory. This tight contest reflects Friday's modest gains offset by the first weekly loss in five weeks, driven by higher oil prices reigniting inflation fears and curbing Federal Reserve rate cut bets, despite robust central bank buying (projected at 60 tonnes monthly) and protracted Middle East tensions including the ongoing Iran conflict. Key swing factors include May FOMC communications, upcoming CPI and PCE data, and USD index moves; hotter inflation could pressure lower bins, while escalating geopolitics supports upside.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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