Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Gold (GC) end-June settlement with implied probabilities favoring levels above $4,600, reflecting current spot near $4,710/oz and June futures at $4,725 amid modest contango. Recent session gains of 0.3% follow a weekly pullback from Q1 peaks above $5,100, driven by firmer U.S. dollar (DXY 98.5) and inflation concerns from surging oil prices offsetting robust central bank demand—95% anticipate rising global reserves in 2026. Key catalysts include April FOMC (April 28-29) for rate guidance, May CPI release (June 10), and June FOMC (June 16-17) shaping cut expectations before month-end settlement, with 10-year Treasury yields at 4.31% calibrating real yield pressures.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOr (GC) au-dessus de ___ fin juin ?
Or (GC) au-dessus de ___ fin juin ?
$65,736 Vol.
8 000 $
6%
7 000 $
5%
6 500 $
5%
6 200 $
4%
6 000 $
12%
5 800 $
12%
5 600 $
18%
5 400 $
17%
5 200 $
27%
5 000 $
37%
4 800 $
59%
4 600 $
67%
$65,736 Vol.
8 000 $
6%
7 000 $
5%
6 500 $
5%
6 200 $
4%
6 000 $
12%
5 800 $
12%
5 600 $
18%
5 400 $
17%
5 200 $
27%
5 000 $
37%
4 800 $
59%
4 600 $
67%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Marché ouvert : Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.htmlResolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Source de résolution
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.htmlResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Gold (GC) end-June settlement with implied probabilities favoring levels above $4,600, reflecting current spot near $4,710/oz and June futures at $4,725 amid modest contango. Recent session gains of 0.3% follow a weekly pullback from Q1 peaks above $5,100, driven by firmer U.S. dollar (DXY 98.5) and inflation concerns from surging oil prices offsetting robust central bank demand—95% anticipate rising global reserves in 2026. Key catalysts include April FOMC (April 28-29) for rate guidance, May CPI release (June 10), and June FOMC (June 16-17) shaping cut expectations before month-end settlement, with 10-year Treasury yields at 4.31% calibrating real yield pressures.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes