Recent U.S.-Iran diplomatic progress and expectations of eased Strait of Hormuz disruptions have driven sharp declines in WTI crude futures, with July contracts settling near $84.88 on June 12 after a 3.2% drop amid reports of canceled strikes and potential sanctions relief. This contrasts with the EIA’s June 9 Short-Term Energy Outlook, which assumes sustained supply cuts exceeding 11 million b/d and projects Brent averaging $105/bbl in June-July on 6.3 million b/d inventory draws. Market pricing embeds higher odds of near-term supply restoration, tempered by ongoing volatility in weekly EIA inventory data and OPEC+ signals. Traders are monitoring diplomatic updates through month-end for resolution clarity, as backwardation reflects anticipated tightness giving way to lower prices once flows normalize.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourPétrole brut (CL) au-dessus de ___ fin juin ?
$137,584 Vol.
90 $
41%
85 $
52%
80 $
74%
75 $
85%
70 $
93%
65 $
95%
63 $
95%
60 $
97%
56 $
97%
55 $
98%
52 $
99%
50 $
99%
$137,584 Vol.
90 $
41%
85 $
52%
80 $
74%
75 $
85%
70 $
93%
65 $
95%
63 $
95%
60 $
97%
56 $
97%
55 $
98%
52 $
99%
50 $
99%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Marché ouvert : Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S.-Iran diplomatic progress and expectations of eased Strait of Hormuz disruptions have driven sharp declines in WTI crude futures, with July contracts settling near $84.88 on June 12 after a 3.2% drop amid reports of canceled strikes and potential sanctions relief. This contrasts with the EIA’s June 9 Short-Term Energy Outlook, which assumes sustained supply cuts exceeding 11 million b/d and projects Brent averaging $105/bbl in June-July on 6.3 million b/d inventory draws. Market pricing embeds higher odds of near-term supply restoration, tempered by ongoing volatility in weekly EIA inventory data and OPEC+ signals. Traders are monitoring diplomatic updates through month-end for resolution clarity, as backwardation reflects anticipated tightness giving way to lower prices once flows normalize.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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