Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez has repeatedly ruled out a snap general election before the scheduled 2027 vote, emphasizing governmental stability and economic priorities amid ongoing coalition negotiations with regional parties. Recent regional elections in Andalusia and other areas have shown gains for the opposition Popular Party, yet these results have not triggered dissolution of parliament. The government has focused on advancing the 2026 General State Budget and fiscal measures rather than early polls, consistent with Sánchez’s prior pattern of serving full terms when possible. Trader consensus favoring “No” reflects the absence of an immediate no-confidence motion or coalition breakdown sufficient to force dissolution by year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$26,868 Vol.
$26,868 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
$26,868 Vol.
$26,868 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez has repeatedly ruled out a snap general election before the scheduled 2027 vote, emphasizing governmental stability and economic priorities amid ongoing coalition negotiations with regional parties. Recent regional elections in Andalusia and other areas have shown gains for the opposition Popular Party, yet these results have not triggered dissolution of parliament. The government has focused on advancing the 2026 General State Budget and fiscal measures rather than early polls, consistent with Sánchez’s prior pattern of serving full terms when possible. Trader consensus favoring “No” reflects the absence of an immediate no-confidence motion or coalition breakdown sufficient to force dissolution by year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Mar 5, 2026, 5:03 PM ET
Volume
$26,868Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 5, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez has repeatedly ruled out a snap general election before the scheduled 2027 vote, emphasizing governmental stability and economic priorities amid ongoing coalition negotiations with regional parties. Recent regional elections in Andalusia and other areas have shown gains for the opposition Popular Party, yet these results have not triggered dissolution of parliament. The government has focused on advancing the 2026 General State Budget and fiscal measures rather than early polls, consistent with Sánchez’s prior pattern of serving full terms when possible. Trader consensus favoring “No” reflects the absence of an immediate no-confidence motion or coalition breakdown sufficient to force dissolution by year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$26,868Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 5, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez has repeatedly ruled out a snap general election before the scheduled 2027 vote, emphasizing governmental stability and economic priorities amid ongoing coalition negotiations with regional parties. Recent regional elections in Andalusia and other areas have shown gains for the opposition Popular Party, yet these results have not triggered dissolution of parliament. The government has focused on advancing the 2026 General State Budget and fiscal measures rather than early polls, consistent with Sánchez’s prior pattern of serving full terms when possible. Trader consensus favoring “No” reflects the absence of an immediate no-confidence motion or coalition breakdown sufficient to force dissolution by year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes