Mixed critical reception from the review embargo lift over the past 24 hours has anchored Polymarket trader consensus for The Drama's opening weekend around the mid-teens, with 15-16 million dollars leading at 40.5% implied probability amid tightly contested odds down to 10-11 million at 32.5%. Zendaya and Robert Pattinson's star power, bolstered by pre-sales surpassing Materialists' 11.3 million debut, supports the frontrunner positioning, while A24's counterprogramming against family holdovers like Project Hail Mary fuels upside potential. However, polarizing takes labeling the Kristoffer Borgli-directed wedding squirm-com as "smugly juvenile" or "half-funny" have capped enthusiasm below initial 15-25 million tracking. Thursday previews and Friday walkups remain key swing factors before the April 3-5 frame locks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour"The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office (Higher Strikes)
"The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office (Higher Strikes)
15-16m 39%
14-15m 36%
13-14m 35%
12-13m 32%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 avr. 2026
<10m
30%
10-11m
31%
11-12m
30%
12-13m
32%
13-14m
35%
14-15m
36%
15-16m
39%
16-17m
20%
>17m
9%
15-16m 39%
14-15m 36%
13-14m 35%
12-13m 32%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 avr. 2026
<10m
$1 Vol.
30%
10-11m
$0 Vol.
31%
11-12m
$0 Vol.
30%
12-13m
$0 Vol.
32%
13-14m
$0 Vol.
35%
14-15m
$3 Vol.
36%
15-16m
$0 Vol.
39%
16-17m
$146 Vol.
20%
>17m
$237 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to how much "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 3 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Mixed critical reception from the review embargo lift over the past 24 hours has anchored Polymarket trader consensus for The Drama's opening weekend around the mid-teens, with 15-16 million dollars leading at 40.5% implied probability amid tightly contested odds down to 10-11 million at 32.5%. Zendaya and Robert Pattinson's star power, bolstered by pre-sales surpassing Materialists' 11.3 million debut, supports the frontrunner positioning, while A24's counterprogramming against family holdovers like Project Hail Mary fuels upside potential. However, polarizing takes labeling the Kristoffer Borgli-directed wedding squirm-com as "smugly juvenile" or "half-funny" have capped enthusiasm below initial 15-25 million tracking. Thursday previews and Friday walkups remain key swing factors before the April 3-5 frame locks.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 3 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Marché ouvert : Mar 31, 2026, 6:09 PM ET
Volume
$388Date de fin
6 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 31, 2026, 6:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 3 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Mixed critical reception from the review embargo lift over the past 24 hours has anchored Polymarket trader consensus for The Drama's opening weekend around the mid-teens, with 15-16 million dollars leading at 40.5% implied probability amid tightly contested odds down to 10-11 million at 32.5%. Zendaya and Robert Pattinson's star power, bolstered by pre-sales surpassing Materialists' 11.3 million debut, supports the frontrunner positioning, while A24's counterprogramming against family holdovers like Project Hail Mary fuels upside potential. However, polarizing takes labeling the Kristoffer Borgli-directed wedding squirm-com as "smugly juvenile" or "half-funny" have capped enthusiasm below initial 15-25 million tracking. Thursday previews and Friday walkups remain key swing factors before the April 3-5 frame locks.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 3 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$388Date de fin
6 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 31, 2026, 6:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mixed critical reception from the review embargo lift over the past 24 hours has anchored Polymarket trader consensus for The Drama's opening weekend around the mid-teens, with 15-16 million dollars leading at 40.5% implied probability amid tightly contested odds down to 10-11 million at 32.5%. Zendaya and Robert Pattinson's star power, bolstered by pre-sales surpassing Materialists' 11.3 million debut, supports the frontrunner positioning, while A24's counterprogramming against family holdovers like Project Hail Mary fuels upside potential. However, polarizing takes labeling the Kristoffer Borgli-directed wedding squirm-com as "smugly juvenile" or "half-funny" have capped enthusiasm below initial 15-25 million tracking. Thursday previews and Friday walkups remain key swing factors before the April 3-5 frame locks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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