Project Hail Mary commands a commanding 99.7% implied probability as the highest grossing film for the March 27 weekend, backed by its blockbuster $142 million domestic opening last weekend—fueled by Ryan Gosling's star draw, glowing reviews (96% Rotten Tomatoes), and an A+ CinemaScore signaling exceptional word-of-mouth legs. Holdover momentum crushes wide-release competitors like Hoppers ($24M debut, family animation facing Easter counterprogramming) and counterprogramming horrors They Will Kill You or Ready or Not 2 ($10-15M tracking), with Reminders of Him limited to modest platform rollout. Traders' near-unanimous consensus reflects pre-weekend tracking and Friday actuals projecting $65-75M for the sci-fi hit. Realistic upsets would require a catastrophic >60% drop for Hail Mary amid bad weather or review backlash, plus a surprise breakout over $80M from a rival—scenarios historical data deems improbable for such a dominant opener.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest grossing movie this weekend (March 27)
Highest grossing movie this weekend (March 27)
Project Hail Mary 99.6%
They Will Kill You <1%
Hoppers <1%
Ready or Not 2: Here I Come <1%
$20,943 Vol.
$20,943 Vol.
Project Hail Mary
100%
They Will Kill You
<1%
Hoppers
<1%
Ready or Not 2: Here I Come
<1%
Reminders of Him
<1%
Project Hail Mary 99.6%
They Will Kill You <1%
Hoppers <1%
Ready or Not 2: Here I Come <1%
$20,943 Vol.
$20,943 Vol.
Project Hail Mary
100%
They Will Kill You
<1%
Hoppers
<1%
Ready or Not 2: Here I Come
<1%
Reminders of Him
<1%
If more than one movie reports the same gross for the 3-day weekend, this market will resolve in favor of the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If no movie plays in theaters during the specified weekend, this market will resolve to "Other".
Marché ouvert : Mar 23, 2026, 6:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Project Hail Mary commands a commanding 99.7% implied probability as the highest grossing film for the March 27 weekend, backed by its blockbuster $142 million domestic opening last weekend—fueled by Ryan Gosling's star draw, glowing reviews (96% Rotten Tomatoes), and an A+ CinemaScore signaling exceptional word-of-mouth legs. Holdover momentum crushes wide-release competitors like Hoppers ($24M debut, family animation facing Easter counterprogramming) and counterprogramming horrors They Will Kill You or Ready or Not 2 ($10-15M tracking), with Reminders of Him limited to modest platform rollout. Traders' near-unanimous consensus reflects pre-weekend tracking and Friday actuals projecting $65-75M for the sci-fi hit. Realistic upsets would require a catastrophic >60% drop for Hail Mary amid bad weather or review backlash, plus a surprise breakout over $80M from a rival—scenarios historical data deems improbable for such a dominant opener.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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