Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 300-359 tweets for Elon Musk's activity from March 27 to April 3, 2026, with each 20-unit bin implying 10-11.5% probabilities, reflecting his sustained high-volume posting averaging 40-50 daily amid X platform engagement and real-time updates on Tesla, SpaceX, and cultural debates. Recent weeks logged 320-380 tweets, including 347 last period during AI policy buzz, establishing a baseline that dominates lower-volume options below 5%. Competitive dynamics hinge on event-driven spikes—potential 2026 launches or election echoes—versus quieter weeks dipping under 300, but historical consistency amid his meme-lord persona favors mid-300s as trader consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour300-319 12%
320-339 12%
340-359 12%
360-379 11%
$119,992 Vol.
$119,992 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
1%
160-179
1%
180-199
2%
200-219
4%
220-239
4%
240-259
6%
260-279
7%
280-299
10%
300-319
12%
320-339
12%
340-359
12%
360-379
11%
380-399
9%
400-419
4%
420-439
3%
440-459
4%
460-479
1%
480-499
2%
500-519
1%
520-539
1%
540-559
1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
300-319 12%
320-339 12%
340-359 12%
360-379 11%
$119,992 Vol.
$119,992 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
1%
160-179
1%
180-199
2%
200-219
4%
220-239
4%
240-259
6%
260-279
7%
280-299
10%
300-319
12%
320-339
12%
340-359
12%
360-379
11%
380-399
9%
400-419
4%
420-439
3%
440-459
4%
460-479
1%
480-499
2%
500-519
1%
520-539
1%
540-559
1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 300-359 tweets for Elon Musk's activity from March 27 to April 3, 2026, with each 20-unit bin implying 10-11.5% probabilities, reflecting his sustained high-volume posting averaging 40-50 daily amid X platform engagement and real-time updates on Tesla, SpaceX, and cultural debates. Recent weeks logged 320-380 tweets, including 347 last period during AI policy buzz, establishing a baseline that dominates lower-volume options below 5%. Competitive dynamics hinge on event-driven spikes—potential 2026 launches or election echoes—versus quieter weeks dipping under 300, but historical consistency amid his meme-lord persona favors mid-300s as trader consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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