Trader consensus on the White House X account's weekly post count for March 27–April 3, 2026, clusters tightly around 140–199 posts, reflecting uncertainty over the 2024 presidential election outcome that will shape the administration's communication style. Historical data shows Biden-era volumes averaging 120–160 posts per week, while traders price in elevated activity—potentially 180+—under a Trump presidency, based on his high-volume personal posting and prior term patterns for official channels. National polls remain neck-and-neck, with Polymarket's election markets showing Trump at 52% implied probability, keeping bins competitive. Upcoming catalysts like final debate results, October jobs reports, or court decisions on candidate eligibility could shift election odds, driving clearer separation toward higher or lower ranges.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourWhite House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
180-199 28%
160-179 27%
140-159 25%
200+ 21%
<20
1%
20-39
1%
40-59
3%
60-79
9%
80-99
21%
100-119
17%
120-139
21%
140-159
25%
160-179
27%
180-199
28%
200+
21%
180-199 28%
160-179 27%
140-159 25%
200+ 21%
<20
1%
20-39
1%
40-59
3%
60-79
9%
80-99
21%
100-119
17%
120-139
21%
140-159
25%
160-179
27%
180-199
28%
200+
21%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/WhiteHouseResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/WhiteHouseResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the White House X account's weekly post count for March 27–April 3, 2026, clusters tightly around 140–199 posts, reflecting uncertainty over the 2024 presidential election outcome that will shape the administration's communication style. Historical data shows Biden-era volumes averaging 120–160 posts per week, while traders price in elevated activity—potentially 180+—under a Trump presidency, based on his high-volume personal posting and prior term patterns for official channels. National polls remain neck-and-neck, with Polymarket's election markets showing Trump at 52% implied probability, keeping bins competitive. Upcoming catalysts like final debate results, October jobs reports, or court decisions on candidate eligibility could shift election odds, driving clearer separation toward higher or lower ranges.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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