Trader sentiment on Elon Musk's tweet volume for March 23-25, 2026, clusters around 65-114 posts (57% combined implied probability), mirroring his recent average of 25-40 daily X posts amid heightened political engagement and xAI buzz. The razor-thin edge for 90-114 (29.5%) over 65-89 (27.5%) stems from historical spikes during Tesla earnings seasons or SpaceX milestones, which often align with late March quarters, versus quieter periods. Lower bins like 40-64 gain traction from occasional lulls post-controversy, while tails above 140 reflect outlier frenzy risks tied to viral culture wars. With no confirmed 2026 events, markets hinge on Musk's unpredictable pop culture dominance and real-time X activity patterns.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour90-114 31%
65-89 28%
115-139 20%
40-64 12%
$96,208 Vol.
$96,208 Vol.
<40
2%
40-64
12%
65-89
28%
90-114
31%
115-139
20%
140-164
7%
165-189
3%
190-214
2%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
90-114 31%
65-89 28%
115-139 20%
40-64 12%
$96,208 Vol.
$96,208 Vol.
<40
2%
40-64
12%
65-89
28%
90-114
31%
115-139
20%
140-164
7%
165-189
3%
190-214
2%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : Mar 21, 2026, 12:09 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Elon Musk's tweet volume for March 23-25, 2026, clusters around 65-114 posts (57% combined implied probability), mirroring his recent average of 25-40 daily X posts amid heightened political engagement and xAI buzz. The razor-thin edge for 90-114 (29.5%) over 65-89 (27.5%) stems from historical spikes during Tesla earnings seasons or SpaceX milestones, which often align with late March quarters, versus quieter periods. Lower bins like 40-64 gain traction from occasional lulls post-controversy, while tails above 140 reflect outlier frenzy risks tied to viral culture wars. With no confirmed 2026 events, markets hinge on Musk's unpredictable pop culture dominance and real-time X activity patterns.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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