Market icon

"The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2ème box-office du week-end

Market icon

"The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2ème box-office du week-end

avr. 6

avr. 6

avr. 13

avr. 13

avr. 6

avr. 6

avr. 13

avr. 13

70-80 millions 44%

<70 millions 38%

80-90 millions 16%

>90 M 2.6%

Polymarket

$10,634 Vol.

70-80 millions 44%

<70 millions 38%

80-90 millions 16%

>90 M 2.6%

Polymarket

$10,634 Vol.

<70 millions

$3,654 Vol.

38%

70-80 millions

$3,264 Vol.

44%

80-90 millions

$1,662 Vol.

16%

>90 M

$2,053 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (April 10 - April 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward a 70-80m second weekend for The Super Mario Galaxy Movie at 46% implied probability, edging out <70m at 38%, reflecting early tracking and a record $16.8 million Monday that signals solid family audience holds despite a front-loaded profile. The film's blockbuster $131.7 million opening weekend—boosted by Nintendo fandom, Easter timing, and premium format dominance—outpaced initial estimates, but middling 44% Rotten Tomatoes critics score tempers expectations compared to the 2023 Super Mario Bros. Movie's stronger $92 million sophomore frame and -37% drop. Key swing factors include repeat viewings from kids, retention of Imax/PLF screens, and minimal competition from openers like You, Me & Tuscany; updated Thursday-Friday estimates could tip the close race.

This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (April 10 - April 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.

If there is no final data available by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$10,634
Date de fin
13 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 6, 2026, 5:58 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.the-numbers.com/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (April 10 - April 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (April 10 - April 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward a 70-80m second weekend for The Super Mario Galaxy Movie at 46% implied probability, edging out <70m at 38%, reflecting early tracking and a record $16.8 million Monday that signals solid family audience holds despite a front-loaded profile. The film's blockbuster $131.7 million opening weekend—boosted by Nintendo fandom, Easter timing, and premium format dominance—outpaced initial estimates, but middling 44% Rotten Tomatoes critics score tempers expectations compared to the 2023 Super Mario Bros. Movie's stronger $92 million sophomore frame and -37% drop. Key swing factors include repeat viewings from kids, retention of Imax/PLF screens, and minimal competition from openers like You, Me & Tuscany; updated Thursday-Friday estimates could tip the close race.

This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (April 10 - April 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.

If there is no final data available by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$10,634
Date de fin
13 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 6, 2026, 5:58 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.the-numbers.com/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (April 10 - April 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

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Questions fréquentes

« "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2ème box-office du week-end » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 4 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 70-80 millions » à 45%, suivi de « <70 millions » à 38%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 45¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 45% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2ème box-office du week-end » a généré $10.6K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Apr 6, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2ème box-office du week-end », parcourez les 4 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2ème box-office du week-end » est « 70-80 millions » à 45%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 45% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « <70 millions » à 38%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2ème box-office du week-end » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.