Trader consensus prices Trump's approval rating on April 3 in the 39.5–39.9% bin at 41.5% implied probability, closely trailed by adjacent ranges around 39–40.4%, signaling expectations of a mid-40s figure amid softening post-inauguration trends. Recent Gallup and Rasmussen polls released in late March showed averages dipping to 41–43% from February highs near 48%, pressured by public reactions to tariff announcements sparking stock market volatility and federal workforce reductions under the Department of Government Efficiency. Swing voter concerns over trade war risks and immigration enforcement have weighed on numbers, though strong Republican support holds the floor. Weekly trackers like RealClearPolitics average could refine this further before resolution, with historical first-100-days base rates suggesting potential rebound or continued erosion based on economic data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourTrump approval rating on April 3?
Trump approval rating on April 3?
39.5–39.9 42%
39.0–39.4 23%
40.0–40.4 21%
<39.0 14%
NEW
NEW
Apr 4, 2026
<39.0
14%
39.0–39.4
23%
39.5–39.9
42%
40.0–40.4
21%
40.5–40.9
13%
41.0+
10%
39.5–39.9 42%
39.0–39.4 23%
40.0–40.4 21%
<39.0 14%
NEW
NEW
Apr 4, 2026
<39.0
$127 Vol.
14%
39.0–39.4
$0 Vol.
23%
39.5–39.9
$0 Vol.
42%
40.0–40.4
$0 Vol.
21%
40.5–40.9
$0 Vol.
13%
41.0+
$0 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 3, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus prices Trump's approval rating on April 3 in the 39.5–39.9% bin at 41.5% implied probability, closely trailed by adjacent ranges around 39–40.4%, signaling expectations of a mid-40s figure amid softening post-inauguration trends. Recent Gallup and Rasmussen polls released in late March showed averages dipping to 41–43% from February highs near 48%, pressured by public reactions to tariff announcements sparking stock market volatility and federal workforce reductions under the Department of Government Efficiency. Swing voter concerns over trade war risks and immigration enforcement have weighed on numbers, though strong Republican support holds the floor. Weekly trackers like RealClearPolitics average could refine this further before resolution, with historical first-100-days base rates suggesting potential rebound or continued erosion based on economic data.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 3, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Marché ouvert : Mar 27, 2026, 11:15 AM ET
Volume
$127Date de fin
Apr 4, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 27, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 3, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus prices Trump's approval rating on April 3 in the 39.5–39.9% bin at 41.5% implied probability, closely trailed by adjacent ranges around 39–40.4%, signaling expectations of a mid-40s figure amid softening post-inauguration trends. Recent Gallup and Rasmussen polls released in late March showed averages dipping to 41–43% from February highs near 48%, pressured by public reactions to tariff announcements sparking stock market volatility and federal workforce reductions under the Department of Government Efficiency. Swing voter concerns over trade war risks and immigration enforcement have weighed on numbers, though strong Republican support holds the floor. Weekly trackers like RealClearPolitics average could refine this further before resolution, with historical first-100-days base rates suggesting potential rebound or continued erosion based on economic data.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 3, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$127Date de fin
Apr 4, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 27, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices Trump's approval rating on April 3 in the 39.5–39.9% bin at 41.5% implied probability, closely trailed by adjacent ranges around 39–40.4%, signaling expectations of a mid-40s figure amid softening post-inauguration trends. Recent Gallup and Rasmussen polls released in late March showed averages dipping to 41–43% from February highs near 48%, pressured by public reactions to tariff announcements sparking stock market volatility and federal workforce reductions under the Department of Government Efficiency. Swing voter concerns over trade war risks and immigration enforcement have weighed on numbers, though strong Republican support holds the floor. Weekly trackers like RealClearPolitics average could refine this further before resolution, with historical first-100-days base rates suggesting potential rebound or continued erosion based on economic data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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