Trader consensus on a near-certain "Down" outcome reflects the Silver Bulletin approval rating's confirmed decline this week, as updated May 1 with the polling average dipping amid a wave of unfavorable late-April surveys including Pew Research (34% approve) and Reuters/Ipsos (34%). Surging gas prices from the ongoing U.S.-Iran war, coupled with voter concerns over the economy and no end in sight to military actions, have eroded support, pushing net approval to around -18 and marking a second-term low trajectory. Resolution hinges on the tracker's green trend line to one decimal place; only an unprecedented data revision or pollster correction could shift it, though none is anticipated before the weekly close.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourApprobation de Trump vers le haut ou vers le bas cette semaine ?
Approbation de Trump vers le haut ou vers le bas cette semaine ?
En hausse
$8,999 Vol.
$8,999 Vol.
1 mai 2026
En hausse
$8,999 Vol.
$8,999 Vol.
1 mai 2026
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 1, 2026, than on April 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 24, 2026, than on May 1, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on a near-certain "Down" outcome reflects the Silver Bulletin approval rating's confirmed decline this week, as updated May 1 with the polling average dipping amid a wave of unfavorable late-April surveys including Pew Research (34% approve) and Reuters/Ipsos (34%). Surging gas prices from the ongoing U.S.-Iran war, coupled with voter concerns over the economy and no end in sight to military actions, have eroded support, pushing net approval to around -18 and marking a second-term low trajectory. Resolution hinges on the tracker's green trend line to one decimal place; only an unprecedented data revision or pollster correction could shift it, though none is anticipated before the weekly close.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 1, 2026, than on April 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 24, 2026, than on May 1, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 24, 2026, than on May 1, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Marché ouvert : Apr 24, 2026, 11:18 AM ET
Volume
$8,999Date de fin
1 mai 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 24, 2026, 11:18 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: En baisse
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: En baisse
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 1, 2026, than on April 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 24, 2026, than on May 1, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on a near-certain "Down" outcome reflects the Silver Bulletin approval rating's confirmed decline this week, as updated May 1 with the polling average dipping amid a wave of unfavorable late-April surveys including Pew Research (34% approve) and Reuters/Ipsos (34%). Surging gas prices from the ongoing U.S.-Iran war, coupled with voter concerns over the economy and no end in sight to military actions, have eroded support, pushing net approval to around -18 and marking a second-term low trajectory. Resolution hinges on the tracker's green trend line to one decimal place; only an unprecedented data revision or pollster correction could shift it, though none is anticipated before the weekly close.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 1, 2026, than on April 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 24, 2026, than on May 1, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 24, 2026, than on May 1, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$8,999Date de fin
1 mai 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 24, 2026, 11:18 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: En baisse
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: En baisse
Trader consensus on a near-certain "Down" outcome reflects the Silver Bulletin approval rating's confirmed decline this week, as updated May 1 with the polling average dipping amid a wave of unfavorable late-April surveys including Pew Research (34% approve) and Reuters/Ipsos (34%). Surging gas prices from the ongoing U.S.-Iran war, coupled with voter concerns over the economy and no end in sight to military actions, have eroded support, pushing net approval to around -18 and marking a second-term low trajectory. Resolution hinges on the tracker's green trend line to one decimal place; only an unprecedented data revision or pollster correction could shift it, though none is anticipated before the weekly close.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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