Following the April 11-12 marathon direct talks in Islamabad— the first high-level US-Iran face-to-face negotiations since 1979, led by Vice President JD Vance and envoys Witkoff and Kushner against Iranian Speaker Ghalibaf and Foreign Minister Araghchi—discussions collapsed without agreement on uranium enrichment curbs, Strait of Hormuz access, and ceasefire terms. Diplomats now pursue a second round via back channels, with Pakistan offering to host as early as this week amid the US blockade of Iranian ports and a fragile truce entering its final days. President Trump signaled possible resumption "over the next two days," while UN Secretary-General Guterres urged renewed diplomacy; traders weigh escalation risks against mediation momentum before any market resolution deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourRéunion diplomatique entre les États-Unis et l'Iran d'ici le... ?
Réunion diplomatique entre les États-Unis et l'Iran d'ici le... ?
$625,228 Vol.
30 avr. 2026
15 avril
1%
16 avril
6%
17 avril
20%
18 avril
48%
22 avril
78%
30 avril
88%
$625,228 Vol.
15 avril
$19,860 Vol.
1%
16 avril
$28,949 Vol.
6%
17 avril
$12,078 Vol.
20%
18 avril
$324,191 Vol.
48%
22 avril
$161,677 Vol.
78%
30 avril
$79,853 Vol.
88%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Following the April 11-12 marathon direct talks in Islamabad— the first high-level US-Iran face-to-face negotiations since 1979, led by Vice President JD Vance and envoys Witkoff and Kushner against Iranian Speaker Ghalibaf and Foreign Minister Araghchi—discussions collapsed without agreement on uranium enrichment curbs, Strait of Hormuz access, and ceasefire terms. Diplomats now pursue a second round via back channels, with Pakistan offering to host as early as this week amid the US blockade of Iranian ports and a fragile truce entering its final days. President Trump signaled possible resumption "over the next two days," while UN Secretary-General Guterres urged renewed diplomacy; traders weigh escalation risks against mediation momentum before any market resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Apr 14, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$625,228Date de fin
30 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 14, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Following the April 11-12 marathon direct talks in Islamabad— the first high-level US-Iran face-to-face negotiations since 1979, led by Vice President JD Vance and envoys Witkoff and Kushner against Iranian Speaker Ghalibaf and Foreign Minister Araghchi—discussions collapsed without agreement on uranium enrichment curbs, Strait of Hormuz access, and ceasefire terms. Diplomats now pursue a second round via back channels, with Pakistan offering to host as early as this week amid the US blockade of Iranian ports and a fragile truce entering its final days. President Trump signaled possible resumption "over the next two days," while UN Secretary-General Guterres urged renewed diplomacy; traders weigh escalation risks against mediation momentum before any market resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$625,228Date de fin
30 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 14, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Following the April 11-12 marathon direct talks in Islamabad— the first high-level US-Iran face-to-face negotiations since 1979, led by Vice President JD Vance and envoys Witkoff and Kushner against Iranian Speaker Ghalibaf and Foreign Minister Araghchi—discussions collapsed without agreement on uranium enrichment curbs, Strait of Hormuz access, and ceasefire terms. Diplomats now pursue a second round via back channels, with Pakistan offering to host as early as this week amid the US blockade of Iranian ports and a fragile truce entering its final days. President Trump signaled possible resumption "over the next two days," while UN Secretary-General Guterres urged renewed diplomacy; traders weigh escalation risks against mediation momentum before any market resolution deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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