Tim Cook’s confirmed transition from Apple CEO to executive chairman on September 1, 2026, anchors the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for his departure, reflecting a structured succession amid hardware and AI integration challenges. Traders assign lower but notable odds to Andy Jassy at Amazon and Sam Altman at OpenAI, driven by ongoing performance pressures and leadership scrutiny in competitive AI and cloud markets. Adobe’s Shantanu Narayen has also signaled an exit once a successor is chosen. Key upcoming catalysts include Apple’s post-transition execution under hardware lead John Ternus, quarterly earnings that could highlight strategic shifts, and any regulatory or competitive moves affecting big-tech stability through year-end 2026.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$710,598 Vol.

Andy Jassy - Amazon
12%

Sundar Pichai - Google
8%

Sam Altman - OpenAI
8%

Dan Clancy - Twitch
5%

Brian Armstrong - Coinbase
5%
$710,598 Vol.

Andy Jassy - Amazon
12%

Sundar Pichai - Google
8%

Sam Altman - OpenAI
8%

Dan Clancy - Twitch
5%

Brian Armstrong - Coinbase
5%
An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Nov 18, 2025, 10:41 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Tim Cook’s confirmed transition from Apple CEO to executive chairman on September 1, 2026, anchors the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for his departure, reflecting a structured succession amid hardware and AI integration challenges. Traders assign lower but notable odds to Andy Jassy at Amazon and Sam Altman at OpenAI, driven by ongoing performance pressures and leadership scrutiny in competitive AI and cloud markets. Adobe’s Shantanu Narayen has also signaled an exit once a successor is chosen. Key upcoming catalysts include Apple’s post-transition execution under hardware lead John Ternus, quarterly earnings that could highlight strategic shifts, and any regulatory or competitive moves affecting big-tech stability through year-end 2026.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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